TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089163
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Melashenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115113––––
Vitalii Kobets
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:10 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Melashenko to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Melashenko above · Vitalii Kobets below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 52 set 3, 11-3 — our read held Oleksandr Melashenko at 58.2%
52 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Melashenko 7–1 Vitalii Kobets Vitalii Kobets has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:10What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Melashenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-1 in 8
Melashenko
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melashenko 1527 vs Kobets 1506
Melashenko
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melashenko 60% vs Kobets 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melashenko 50% vs Kobets 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Melashenko -1 · Kobets +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Melashenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kobets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelashenko 1.67 / Kobets 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Melashenko)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13089163
Melashenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 88 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 51 of 70
Kobets2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 74 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back14% 7 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeMelashenko7wins
AwayKobets1wins
3 of 8 to a deciderMelashenko leads 7–1, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelashenko100%6 of 6
AwayKobetsn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melashenko6Kobets2n = 8Melashenko took 6 of 8
S2Melashenko3Kobets5n = 8Kobets took 5 of 8
S3Melashenko3Kobets5n = 8Kobets took 5 of 8
S4Melashenko6Kobets1n = 7Melashenko took 6 of 7
S5Melashenko3Kobets0n = 3Melashenko took 3 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home450%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricMelashenkoKobetsM − KBasisWins71+6in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match41.537.1+4.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelashenkoKobetsBasisWin rate · lifetime436 / 854 vs 453 / 87751.1%51.7%436 / 854 vs 453 / 877Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelashenkoMelashenko 1.67/Kobets 2.10
Hit
What we said
58.2%
Melashenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 3 · 13:55O. Melashenko—11711113V. Kobets—811781
LJul 22 · 23:35O. Melashenko—10890V. Kobets—1211113
WJun 10 · 16:25O. Melashenko—12114113V. Kobets—1051191
WDec 28 · 22:05O. Melashenko—118811113V. Kobets—81111732
WNov 24 · 02:05O. Melashenko—119117113V. Kobets—81171192
WNov 16 · 22:05O. Melashenko—101111113V. Kobets—125971
WOct 5 · 23:35O. Melashenko—114711113V. Kobets—81111852
WAug 14 · 21:05O. Melashenko—11119113V. Kobets—881151
O. Melashenko10
LSep 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko1.5713570O. Naida2.251511113WSep 7 · 14:55O. Melashenko2.101311133S. Khandetskyi1.67116110WSep 7 · 13:25O. Melashenko2.2011611113H. Kulishov1.61711991LSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.6781111113M. Marchuk2.10116771LSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113WSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113LSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113LSep 5 · 01:35Y. Krol1.2861111123O. Melashenko3.501167101
V. Kobets10
WSep 7 · 16:55V. Kobets1.8311119113S. Khandetskyi1.83441181WSep 7 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.831159121V. Kobets1.8361111143LSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LAug 31 · 19:55V. Kobets4.332490K. Hrynenko1.201111113WAug 31 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.20711491V. Kobets1.6111911113LAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113WAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113LAug 31 · 14:25V. Kobets2.00471151O. Melashenko1.7311116113WAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 01:35V. Kobets1.449118101A. Peretiatko2.6311411123
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