TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088741
Played Sep 7Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1165119111214––
Vitalii Kobets
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVitalii Kobets to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Vitalii Kobets below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 79 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Vitalii Kobets at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Ishchyk 11–7 Vitalii Kobets Vitalii Kobets has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:10What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kobets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Ishchyk
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1373 vs Kobets 1485
Kobets
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 0% vs Kobets 40%
Kobets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 20% vs Kobets 40%
Kobets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk -5 · Kobets -2
Ishchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ishchyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kobets form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 1.83 / Kobets 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ishchyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13088741
Ishchyk1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kobets1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIshchyk7wins
AwayKobets3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderIshchyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIshchyk83.3%5 of 6
AwayKobets50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ishchyk6Kobets4n = 10Ishchyk took 6 of 10
S2Ishchyk6Kobets4n = 10Ishchyk took 6 of 10
S3Ishchyk8Kobets2n = 10Ishchyk took 8 of 10
S4Ishchyk3Kobets2n = 5Ishchyk took 3 of 5
S5Ishchyk2Kobets2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIshchykKobetsI − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.935.5+3.4per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykKobetsBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 149 vs 451 / 87534.9%51.5%52 / 149 vs 451 / 875Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
IshchykIshchyk 1.83/Kobets 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ishchyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kobets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 15:55P. Ishchyk—11780V. Kobets—1311113
WAug 3 · 15:55P. Ishchyk—2111113123V. Kobets—114615102
WJul 6 · 15:55P. Ishchyk—1211113V. Kobets—10940
WJun 29 · 15:55P. Ishchyk—1111113V. Kobets—9790
WJun 23 · 16:25P. Ishchyk—1111123V. Kobets—67100
WJun 22 · 15:55P. Ishchyk—11111110113V. Kobets—13721252
LJun 18 · 18:25P. Ishchyk—13381152V. Kobets—1111115113
WJun 10 · 18:25P. Ishchyk—13915113V. Kobets—11111381
WJun 8 · 18:25P. Ishchyk—1111113V. Kobets—9680
LJun 1 · 14:25P. Ishchyk—81111172V. Kobets—111197113
P. Ishchyk10
LSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113LAug 25 · 15:55S. Pitsyk1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.209780LAug 25 · 14:25P. Ishchyk1.571011117102S. Khandetskyi2.25126211123WAug 24 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.9110670P. Ishchyk1.801211113LAug 24 · 18:25P. Ishchyk2.10117116112H. Kulishov1.67911611133WAug 24 · 17:25P. Ishchyk1.80961211123A. Yakovenko1.911111108102LAug 24 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.7311780V. Kobets2.001311113
V. Kobets10
LSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LAug 31 · 19:55V. Kobets4.332490K. Hrynenko1.201111113WAug 31 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.20711491V. Kobets1.6111911113LAug 31 · 16:55V. Kobets1.731010111112S. Khandetskyi2.00121239113WAug 31 · 15:55D. Rehotun1.674770V. Kobets2.101111113LAug 31 · 14:25V. Kobets2.00471151O. Melashenko1.7311116113WAug 28 · 03:05V. Kobets1.30811137113A. Yakovenko3.40113111172LAug 28 · 01:35V. Kobets1.449118101A. Peretiatko2.6311411123LAug 28 · 24:05V. Kobets2.386890H. Kulishov1.531111113WAug 24 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.7311780V. Kobets2.001311113
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