TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089107
Played Sep 7Finished
Pavlo Ishchyk
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1176116111191012
Oleksandr Naida
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Naida to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavlo Ishchyk above · Oleksandr Naida below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 94 set 5, 10-12 — our read held Oleksandr Naida at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Pavlo Ishchyk 0–1 Oleksandr Naida Pavlo Ishchyk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:00What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Naida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ishchyk 1358 vs Naida 1478
Naida
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ishchyk 0% vs Naida 60%
Naida
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ishchyk 10% vs Naida 30%
Naida
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ishchyk -5 · Naida +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Naida) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Naida form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIshchyk 3.25 / Naida 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Naida)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13089107
Ishchyk3.25
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 28 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Naida1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 96 of 209
Up 2–0, closes it86% 51 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it72% 73 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeIshchyk0wins
AwayNaida1wins
Naida leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricIshchykNaidaI − NBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match27.042.0−15.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIshchykNaidaBasisWin rate · lifetime52 / 151 vs 483 / 93934.4%51.4%52 / 151 vs 483 / 939Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NaidaIshchyk 3.25/Naida 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Naida · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Naida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LApr 14 · 18:25P. Ishchyk—461161O. Naida—11119113
P. Ishchyk10
LSep 7 · 19:25O. Melashenko1.401111113P. Ishchyk2.757990LSep 7 · 17:25P. Ishchyk2.20831191H. Kulishov1.6111115113LSep 7 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.831159121V. Kobets1.8361111143LSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113LAug 25 · 15:55S. Pitsyk1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.209780LAug 25 · 14:25P. Ishchyk1.571011117102S. Khandetskyi2.25126211123WAug 24 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.9110670P. Ishchyk1.801211113
O. Naida10
WSep 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko1.5713570O. Naida2.251511113WSep 7 · 15:25O. Naida1.7311119113H. Kulishov2.00361141WSep 7 · 14:25V. Kobets2.1010770O. Naida1.671211113LSep 4 · 03:55O. Naida1.5091131152T. Ponomarenko2.50117112113LSep 4 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.001311113O. Naida1.7311830LSep 4 · 24:55O. Naida2.103680D. Derevynskyi1.671111113LSep 3 · 23:55R. Gnoevoy1.8351118133O. Naida1.8311816111LSep 3 · 22:25O. Naida2.757660S. Abalmaz1.401111113LSep 1 · 03:55O. Naida1.8396110R. Gnoevoy1.831111133LSep 1 · 01:55V. Khamurda2.101111113O. Naida1.679940
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O. Naida
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