TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088774
Played Sep 7Finished
Oleksandr Melashenko
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119119––––
Pavlo Ishchyk
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Melashenko to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Melashenko above · Pavlo Ishchyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Oleksandr Melashenko at 70.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Melashenko 6–1 Pavlo Ishchyk Pavlo Ishchyk has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:29What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Melashenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-1 in 7
Melashenko
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melashenko 1540 vs Ishchyk 1351
Melashenko
Correct
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melashenko 60% vs Ishchyk 0%
Melashenko
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melashenko 60% vs Ishchyk 10%
Melashenko
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melashenko +1 · Ishchyk -5
Ishchyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Melashenko) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ishchyk form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelashenko 1.40 / Ishchyk 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Melashenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13088774
Melashenko1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 88 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 51 of 70
Ishchyk2.75
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 28 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back13% 8 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMelashenko6wins
AwayIshchyk1wins
2 of 7 to a deciderMelashenko leads 6–1, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelashenko80%4 of 5
AwayIshchykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melashenko5Ishchyk2n = 7Melashenko took 5 of 7
S2Melashenko4Ishchyk3n = 7Melashenko took 4 of 7
S3Melashenko5Ishchyk2n = 7Melashenko took 5 of 7
S4Melashenko5Ishchyk0n = 5Melashenko took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMelashenkoIshchykM − IBasisWins61+5in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match44.036.0+8.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelashenkoIshchykBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 855 vs 52 / 15251.1%34.2%437 / 855 vs 52 / 152Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MelashenkoMelashenko 1.40/Ishchyk 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Melashenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Melashenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko—1111113P. Ishchyk—7960
LAug 5 · 15:55O. Melashenko—119121192P. Ishchyk—811148113
WAug 3 · 16:55O. Melashenko—121311113P. Ishchyk—1411841
WJul 29 · 15:55O. Melashenko—1313911133P. Ishchyk—1511115112
WJul 21 · 13:55O. Melashenko—1111113P. Ishchyk—6860
WJun 10 · 19:25O. Melashenko—11711113P. Ishchyk—811381
WApr 14 · 17:25O. Melashenko—111111113P. Ishchyk—813981
O. Melashenko10
WSep 7 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.671211113V. Kobets2.1010530LSep 7 · 16:25O. Melashenko1.5713570O. Naida2.251511113WSep 7 · 14:55O. Melashenko2.101311133S. Khandetskyi1.67116110WSep 7 · 13:25O. Melashenko2.2011611113H. Kulishov1.61711991LSep 6 · 04:05Y. Krol1.28871111113O. Melashenko3.5011117872WSep 6 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.6781111113M. Marchuk2.10116771LSep 6 · 24:35K. Hrynenko1.671111113O. Melashenko2.105590WSep 5 · 22:35V. Lobas1.3661080O. Melashenko3.001112113WSep 5 · 21:35O. Gomilko1.835780O. Melashenko1.831111113LSep 5 · 03:35O. Melashenko2.2578111172D. Derevynskyi1.57111119113
P. Ishchyk10
LSep 7 · 18:25P. Ishchyk3.25116611102O. Naida1.33711119123LSep 7 · 17:25P. Ishchyk2.20831191H. Kulishov1.6111115113LSep 7 · 15:55P. Ishchyk1.831159121V. Kobets1.8361111143LSep 7 · 13:55P. Ishchyk1.83117771S. Khandetskyi1.8371111113LAug 25 · 19:55P. Ishchyk1.80612851Y. Stepanchuk1.91111011113LAug 25 · 17:55O. Melashenko1.531111113P. Ishchyk2.387960LAug 25 · 16:55P. Ishchyk3.0051580K. Hrynenko1.361117113LAug 25 · 15:55S. Pitsyk1.611111113P. Ishchyk2.209780LAug 25 · 14:25P. Ishchyk1.571011117102S. Khandetskyi2.25126211123WAug 24 · 19:25S. Khandetskyi1.9110670P. Ishchyk1.801211113
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