TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067872
Played Sep 3Finished
Serhii Rak
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1171113711711––
Ruslan Haiseniuk
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:08 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeSerhii Rak to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSerhii Rak above · Ruslan Haiseniuk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 78 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Serhii Rak at 73.2%
78 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Rak 13–5 Ruslan Haiseniuk Ruslan Haiseniuk has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Rak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-5 in 18
Rak
Wrong
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rak 1837 vs Haiseniuk 1598
Rak
Wrong
both rated, 238 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rak 80% vs Haiseniuk 20%
Rak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rak 70% vs Haiseniuk 40%
Rak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rak +3 · Haiseniuk -2
Rak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Rak) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRak 1.30 / Haiseniuk 3.40
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Rak)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13067872
Rak1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 268 of 425
Up 2–0, closes it92% 131 of 142
Up 1–0, closes it81% 188 of 233
Haiseniuk3.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 41 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back22% 14 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRak7wins
AwayHaiseniuk3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRak leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRak85.7%6 of 7
AwayHaiseniuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rak7Haiseniuk3n = 10Rak took 7 of 10
S2Rak7Haiseniuk3n = 10Rak took 7 of 10
S3Rak5Haiseniuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Rak7Haiseniuk1n = 8Rak took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRakHaiseniukR − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.634.1+6.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRakHaiseniukBasisWin rate · lifetime491 / 893 vs 413 / 73855%56%491 / 893 vs 413 / 738Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RakRak 1.30/Haiseniuk 3.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Rak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Haiseniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 23:00S. Rak—811121172R. Haiseniuk—114145113
WAug 13 · 21:30S. Rak—1111113R. Haiseniuk—8830
WAug 7 · 15:05S. Rak—11118123R. Haiseniuk—9511101
WAug 6 · 23:00S. Rak—11115113R. Haiseniuk—661191
LAug 1 · 11:35S. Rak—7115101R. Haiseniuk—11611123
WJul 28 · 06:35S. Rak—111211133R. Haiseniuk—5149111
WJul 17 · 12:35S. Rak—11411113R. Haiseniuk—711381
LJul 16 · 21:30S. Rak—118811102R. Haiseniuk—511116123
WJul 11 · 05:35S. Rak—101111113R. Haiseniuk—128261
WJul 9 · 21:30S. Rak—1114113R. Haiseniuk—81290
S. Rak10
WSep 7 · 02:15S. Rak1.531111107113I. Kozachuk2.3895121182LSep 7 · 24:45S. Rak2.502850D. Pesternikov1.501111113LSep 6 · 23:15S. Rak1.6781141242D. Shcherbak2.101181110113WSep 6 · 21:45S. Rak1.441111113I. Romaniak2.635370WSep 6 · 20:15S. Rak1.2881111113M. Smyrnov3.50113671WSep 4 · 02:00S. Rak1.5791111113I. Kozachuk2.25117361LSep 4 · 24:30S. Rak2.50615231D. Pesternikov1.50111311113WSep 3 · 21:30S. Rak1.6711511113D. Shcherbak2.10811481WSep 3 · 20:00S. Rak1.33101112113R. Lazebnyi3.251251091WSep 1 · 07:55D. Pesternikov1.44811781S. Rak2.6311711113
R. Haiseniuk10
LSep 5 · 10:35R. Haiseniuk2.756101171I. Kozachuk1.4011129113LSep 5 · 09:05R. Haiseniuk1.671117101152R. Lazebnyi2.101315127113WSep 5 · 07:35R. Haiseniuk1.6111311113O. Napirko2.20911771LSep 5 · 06:05R. Haiseniuk2.636630D. Shcherbak1.441111113LSep 5 · 04:35R. Haiseniuk1.8381271152N. Kovalchuk1.831110115113LSep 4 · 19:05R. Haiseniuk1.838141161O. Napirko1.8311168113WSep 4 · 15:05N. Kovalchuk1.8311911842R. Haiseniuk1.83611811113WSep 4 · 14:05R. Haiseniuk1.7311811123R. Lazebnyi2.008117101WSep 4 · 13:05Y. Kravets2.5011311672R. Haiseniuk1.50511911113LSep 4 · 03:00R. Haiseniuk2.38102120D. Shcherbak1.531211143
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