TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13050724
Played Aug 31Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.11
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511117114811911
Igor Szymanski
Away
6.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIgor Szymanski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Igor Szymanski below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 88 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Igor Szymanski at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 2–1 Igor Szymanski Igor Szymanski has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:28What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Brozek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1411 vs Szymanski 1212
Brozek
Wrong
both rated, 199 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 60% vs Szymanski 20%
Brozek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 70% vs Szymanski 30%
Brozek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +2 · Szymanski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (60%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.11 / Szymanski 6.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Brozek)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13050724
Brozek1.11
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 42 of 73
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it80% 35 of 44
Szymanski6.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog22% won 71 of 319
Down 0–1, comes back12% 25 of 218
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 154
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBrozek2wins
AwaySzymanski1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBrozek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek1Szymanski2n = 3Szymanski took 2 of 3
S2Brozek3Szymanski0n = 3Brozek took 3 of 3
S3Brozek3Szymanski0n = 3Brozek took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrozekSzymanskiB − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.030.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 140 vs 82 / 35153.6%23.4%75 / 140 vs 82 / 351Avg sets wonper match2.11.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.333.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.11/Szymanski 6.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
87.2%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 31 · 14:40P. Brozek—51111892I. Szymanski—117411113
WAug 31 · 06:05P. Brozek—41111113I. Szymanski—115491
WAug 19 · 02:10P. Brozek—1111113I. Szymanski—5570
P. Brozek10
LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470LSep 2 · 11:25P. Brozek1.731111171O. Vincenec2.0091113113WSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:25P. Brozek1.80491281K. Adamus1.86111110113LSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123LSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:15P. Brozek1.731112113O. Vincenec2.0061050WSep 2 · 04:10J. Kaczmarek2.63169661P. Brozek1.44141111113WSep 2 · 03:25P. Brozek1.91681111113K. Adamus1.8011116952
I. Szymanski10
LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113LSep 3 · 12:40I. Szymanski3.407890O. Vincenec1.301111113WSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:10P. Kurek1.28681111123I. Szymanski3.50111167102LSep 3 · 09:25I. Szymanski3.0081111962M. Sikon1.36118911113LSep 3 · 08:10O. Vincenec1.2871111113I. Szymanski3.50119881LSep 3 · 07:20M. Sikon1.4411119113I. Szymanski2.63541131WSep 3 · 05:15K. Kowalski2.63341151I. Szymanski1.4411117113LSep 3 · 04:30P. Kurek1.301114113I. Szymanski3.4021260LSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda1.256111110113I. Szymanski3.7511131282
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