TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058797
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012711119911––
Piotr Brozek
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:22 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Piotr Brozek below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 80 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Piotr Brozek at 61.6%
80 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 1–2 Piotr Brozek Piotr Przewlocki has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1363 vs Brozek 1416
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 60% vs Brozek 40%
Przewlocki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 40% vs Brozek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -1 · Brozek -3
Brozek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.20 / Brozek 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Brozek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13058797
Przewlocki2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 121 of 314
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 89
Brozek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite58% won 48 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePrzewlocki1wins
AwayBrozek2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderBrozek leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki2Brozek1n = 3Przewlocki took 2 of 3
S2Przewlocki2Brozek1n = 3Przewlocki took 2 of 3
S3Przewlocki0Brozek3n = 3Brozek took 3 of 3
S4Przewlocki0Brozek3n = 3Brozek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiBrozekP − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.744.3−3.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime508 / 1074 vs 78 / 14647.3%53.4%508 / 1074 vs 78 / 146Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekPrzewlocki 2.20/Brozek 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 2 · 07:45P. Przewlocki—1111119123P. Brozek—781311102
LAug 31 · 11:50P. Przewlocki—116491P. Brozek—91111113
LAug 31 · 03:50P. Przewlocki—911991P. Brozek—11911113
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.53811114102J. Kaczmarek2.38119611123LSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 09:00P. Przewlocki1.674590O. Vincenec2.101111113WSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123
P. Brozek10
LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470LSep 2 · 11:25P. Brozek1.731111171O. Vincenec2.0091113113LSep 2 · 09:25P. Brozek1.80491281K. Adamus1.86111110113LSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123LSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:15P. Brozek1.731112113O. Vincenec2.0061050WSep 2 · 04:10J. Kaczmarek2.63169661P. Brozek1.44141111113WSep 2 · 03:25P. Brozek1.91681111113K. Adamus1.8011116952LAug 31 · 14:40P. Brozek1.1151111892I. Szymanski6.00117411113
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