TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059356
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121210711116611
Wiktor Ptak
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Wiktor Ptak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 96 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Piotr Brozek at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 2–2 Wiktor Ptak Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Brozek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1407 vs Ptak 1333
Brozek
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 80% vs Ptak 60%
Brozek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 70% vs Ptak 30%
Brozek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +3 · Ptak +1
Brozek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.73 / Ptak 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Brozek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13059356
Brozek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 51 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it100% 30 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it79% 41 of 52
Ptak2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 12 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBrozek2wins
AwayPtak2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPtak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek1Ptak3n = 4Ptak took 3 of 4
S2Brozek3Ptak1n = 4Brozek took 3 of 4
S3Brozek3Ptak1n = 4Brozek took 3 of 4
S4Brozek2Ptak1n = 3Brozek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBrozekPtakB − PBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match37.236.5+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekPtakBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 150 vs 76 / 13553.3%56.3%80 / 150 vs 76 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.73/Ptak 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ptak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek—1111113W. Ptak—9470
LSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek—101271162W. Ptak—1210116113
WJul 9 · 13:10P. Brozek—71111113W. Ptak—115991
LJul 9 · 05:30P. Brozek—651181W. Ptak—11119113
P. Brozek10
LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470LSep 2 · 11:25P. Brozek1.731111171O. Vincenec2.0091113113WSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:25P. Brozek1.80491281K. Adamus1.86111110113LSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123WSep 2 · 05:15P. Brozek1.731112113O. Vincenec2.0061050WSep 2 · 04:10J. Kaczmarek2.63169661P. Brozek1.44141111113WSep 2 · 03:25P. Brozek1.91681111113K. Adamus1.8011116952LAug 31 · 14:40P. Brozek1.1151111892I. Szymanski6.00117411113
W. Ptak10
LSep 2 · 14:20W. Ptak1.61781191O. Vincenec2.2011119113LSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470WSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 11:00W. Ptak2.108490K. Adamus1.671111113WSep 2 · 09:50W. Ptak1.5011127113J. Kaczmarek2.508101161LSep 2 · 08:10W. Ptak1.67791191O. Vincenec2.1011119113WSep 2 · 05:40J. Kaczmarek2.5012101191W. Ptak1.5014126113LSep 2 · 04:55W. Ptak2.10148991K. Adamus1.67121111113WSep 2 · 03:50W. Ptak1.6711711113P. Przewlocki2.10811981LSep 1 · 14:20W. Ptak1.67115119102M. Baron2.10911611123
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