TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13062369
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111181311511611
Wiktor Ptak
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWiktor Ptak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Wiktor Ptak below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Wiktor Ptak at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 0–4 Wiktor Ptak Piotr Przewlocki has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ptak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Ptak
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1319 vs Ptak 1347
Ptak
Correct
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 60% vs Ptak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 40% vs Ptak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -2 · Ptak -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Ptak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.63 / Ptak 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 65%
Edge (Ptak)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13062369
Przewlocki2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 121 of 314
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 89
Ptak1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 56 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it80% 44 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePrzewlocki0wins
AwayPtak4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderPtak leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlockin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPtak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki1Ptak3n = 4Ptak took 3 of 4
S2Przewlocki2Ptak2n = 4split evenly
S3Przewlocki2Ptak2n = 4split evenly
S4Przewlocki0Ptak4n = 4Ptak took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiPtakPrzewlocki − PtakBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match42.549.0−6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiPtakBasisWin rate · lifetime508 / 1076 vs 76 / 13347.2%57.1%508 / 1076 vs 76 / 133Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PtakPrzewlocki 2.63/Ptak 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Ptak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ptak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki—71113562W. Ptak—1181111113
LSep 2 · 03:50P. Przewlocki—811981W. Ptak—11711113
LJul 27 · 13:30P. Przewlocki—20711111W. Ptak—22119133
LJul 27 · 07:30P. Przewlocki—13121171W. Ptak—111413113
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.53811114102J. Kaczmarek2.38119611123LSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:00P. Przewlocki1.674590O. Vincenec2.101111113WSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123WSep 2 · 06:55J. Kaczmarek2.2051181322P. Przewlocki1.611131111113
W. Ptak10
LSep 2 · 14:20W. Ptak1.61781191O. Vincenec2.2011119113LSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470LSep 2 · 11:00W. Ptak2.108490K. Adamus1.671111113WSep 2 · 09:50W. Ptak1.5011127113J. Kaczmarek2.508101161LSep 2 · 08:10W. Ptak1.67791191O. Vincenec2.1011119113WSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:40J. Kaczmarek2.5012101191W. Ptak1.5014126113LSep 2 · 04:55W. Ptak2.10148991K. Adamus1.67121111113WSep 2 · 03:50W. Ptak1.6711711113P. Przewlocki2.10811981LSep 1 · 14:20W. Ptak1.67115119102M. Baron2.10911611123
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