TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059448
Played Sep 2Finished
Wiktor Ptak
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711911119911––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:12 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeWiktor Ptak to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingWiktor Ptak above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Wiktor Ptak at 55.8%
78 points played in total.
H2H Wiktor Ptak 2–1 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:12What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Ptak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ptak 1348 vs Vincenec 1332
Ptak
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ptak 60% vs Vincenec 40%
Ptak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ptak 40% vs Vincenec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ptak +2 · Vincenec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ptak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPtak 1.67 / Vincenec 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Ptak)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13059448
Ptak1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 56 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it94% 31 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it80% 44 of 55
Vincenec2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 194 of 490
Down 0–1, comes back25% 73 of 296
Down 0–2, comes back10% 14 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePtak2wins
AwayVincenec1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderPtak leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ptak2Vincenec1n = 3Ptak took 2 of 3
S2Ptak2Vincenec1n = 3Ptak took 2 of 3
S3Ptak1Vincenec2n = 3Vincenec took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricPtakVincenecP − VBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.340.0+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPtakVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 129 vs 631 / 140357.4%45%74 / 129 vs 631 / 1403Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PtakPtak 1.67/Vincenec 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Ptak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 1 · 11:00W. Ptak—11670O. Vincenec—1311113
WSep 1 · 04:55W. Ptak—111189223O. Vincenec—991111202
WJun 18 · 05:35W. Ptak—1111143O. Vincenec—76120
W. Ptak10
LSep 2 · 14:20W. Ptak1.61781191O. Vincenec2.2011119113LSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470WSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 11:00W. Ptak2.108490K. Adamus1.671111113WSep 2 · 09:50W. Ptak1.5011127113J. Kaczmarek2.508101161WSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:40J. Kaczmarek2.5012101191W. Ptak1.5014126113LSep 2 · 04:55W. Ptak2.10148991K. Adamus1.67121111113WSep 2 · 03:50W. Ptak1.6711711113P. Przewlocki2.10811981LSep 1 · 14:20W. Ptak1.67115119102M. Baron2.10911611123
O. Vincenec10
LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660WSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670LSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191LSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WSep 2 · 14:20W. Ptak1.61781191O. Vincenec2.2011119113
Upcoming Matches
W. Ptak
Nothing scheduled
O. Vincenec1 of 1 neutral
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