TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082444
Played Sep 6Finished
Patryk Jedrzejak
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
101214126111191113
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timePatryk Jedrzejak to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPatryk Jedrzejak above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 109 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Patryk Jedrzejak at 64.0%
109 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jedrzejak 8–7 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:09What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Jedrzejak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jedrzejak 1508 vs Vincenec 1301
Jedrzejak
Wrong
both rated, 207 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jedrzejak 60% vs Vincenec 20%
Jedrzejak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jedrzejak 50% vs Vincenec 30%
Jedrzejak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jedrzejak -2 · Vincenec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Jedrzejak) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJedrzejak 1.40 / Vincenec 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Jedrzejak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13082444
Jedrzejak1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 171 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it97% 99 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it86% 131 of 152
Vincenec2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 193 of 490
Down 0–1, comes back25% 72 of 294
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJedrzejak6wins
AwayVincenec4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJedrzejak leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJedrzejak71.4%5 of 7
AwayVincenec66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jedrzejak7Vincenec3n = 10Jedrzejak took 7 of 10
S2Jedrzejak5Vincenec5n = 10split evenly
S3Jedrzejak8Vincenec2n = 10Jedrzejak took 8 of 10
S4Jedrzejak3Vincenec4n = 7Vincenec took 4 of 7
S5Jedrzejak2Vincenec3n = 5Vincenec took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJedrzejakVincenecJ − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match43.841.6+2.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJedrzejakVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 534 vs 642 / 142567.8%45.1%362 / 534 vs 642 / 1425Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakJedrzejak 1.40/Vincenec 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.5%
Jedrzejak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak—1111113O. Vincenec—4970
LAug 30 · 12:45P. Jedrzejak—131311692O. Vincenec—11111311113
WAug 30 · 10:20P. Jedrzejak—11612123O. Vincenec—61110101
LJul 5 · 14:45P. Jedrzejak—111212932O. Vincenec—8101411113
WJul 5 · 11:05P. Jedrzejak—1114113O. Vincenec—91250
LMay 2 · 16:20P. Jedrzejak—811111382O. Vincenec—1113811113
WMay 2 · 06:45P. Jedrzejak—1181111113O. Vincenec—91191392
WMay 1 · 12:45P. Jedrzejak—681111113O. Vincenec—11116792
WMay 1 · 10:30P. Jedrzejak—1611143O. Vincenec—144120
LApr 5 · 15:30P. Jedrzejak—12511101O. Vincenec—14116123
P. Jedrzejak10
LSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113WSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661LSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113WSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940LSep 5 · 13:55Z. Sobkow2.63111012113P. Jedrzejak1.449121061
O. Vincenec10
LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660WSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670LSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191LSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970LSep 6 · 03:25Z. Sobkow1.6111711113O. Vincenec2.20411481WSep 3 · 14:20O. Vincenec1.28711119113K. Kowalski3.5011841172
Upcoming Matches
P. Jedrzejak
Nothing scheduled
O. Vincenec1 of 1 neutral
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