TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082494
Played Sep 6Finished
Jacek Wieczerzak
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116116––––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:19 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeJacek Wieczerzak to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJacek Wieczerzak above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jacek Wieczerzak at 71.6%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 3–1 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Wieczerzak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Wieczerzak
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1460 vs Vincenec 1318
Wieczerzak
Correct
both rated, 142 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 0% vs Vincenec 40%
Vincenec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 40% vs Vincenec 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak -5 · Vincenec +1
Wieczerzak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Wieczerzak) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wieczerzak form (0%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 1.40 / Vincenec 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Wieczerzak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13082494
Wieczerzak1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Vincenec2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 193 of 490
Down 0–1, comes back25% 72 of 294
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWieczerzak3wins
AwayVincenec1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderWieczerzak leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWieczerzak100%3 of 3
AwayVincenecn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wieczerzak3Vincenec1n = 4Wieczerzak took 3 of 4
S2Wieczerzak3Vincenec1n = 4Wieczerzak took 3 of 4
S3Wieczerzak2Vincenec2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricWieczerzakVincenecW − VBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match35.530.5+5.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 248 vs 642 / 142453.6%45.1%133 / 248 vs 642 / 1424Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WieczerzakWieczerzak 1.40/Vincenec 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Wieczerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wieczerzak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 29 · 11:25J. Wieczerzak—1111113O. Vincenec—9590
WAug 29 · 05:15J. Wieczerzak—1111113O. Vincenec—5960
WAug 10 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak—1111812113O. Vincenec—74111482
LAug 10 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak—66110O. Vincenec—1111133
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133LSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113LSep 5 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak2.257101111132W. Wojtaszczyk1.57111279153
O. Vincenec10
LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951WSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670LSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191LSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970LSep 6 · 03:25Z. Sobkow1.6111711113O. Vincenec2.20411481WSep 3 · 14:20O. Vincenec1.28711119113K. Kowalski3.5011841172
Upcoming Matches
J. Wieczerzak
Nothing scheduled
O. Vincenec1 of 1 neutral
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