TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082436
Played Sep 6Finished
Jacek Wieczerzak
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611811––––
Patryk Jedrzejak
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatryk Jedrzejak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJacek Wieczerzak above · Patryk Jedrzejak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 56 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Patryk Jedrzejak at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 3–2 Patryk Jedrzejak Patryk Jedrzejak has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Jedrzejak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1466 vs Jedrzejak 1537
Jedrzejak
Correct
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 40% vs Jedrzejak 60%
Jedrzejak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 50% vs Jedrzejak 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak -3 · Jedrzejak +2
Wieczerzak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jedrzejak)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 2.00 / Jedrzejak 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jedrzejak)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13082436
Wieczerzak2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 40 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back27% 10 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Jedrzejak1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 171 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it97% 99 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it86% 131 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeWieczerzak3wins
AwayJedrzejak2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderWieczerzak leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWieczerzakn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayJedrzejak50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wieczerzak1Jedrzejak4n = 5Jedrzejak took 4 of 5
S2Wieczerzak3Jedrzejak2n = 5Wieczerzak took 3 of 5
S3Wieczerzak4Jedrzejak1n = 5Wieczerzak took 4 of 5
S4Wieczerzak2Jedrzejak1n = 3Wieczerzak took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricWieczerzakJedrzejakW − JBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match38.234.6+3.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakJedrzejakBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 246 vs 361 / 53153.7%68%132 / 246 vs 361 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakWieczerzak 2.00/Jedrzejak 1.73
Hit
What we said
54.1%
Jedrzejak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jedrzejak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak—9680P. Jedrzejak—1111113
WSep 5 · 09:50J. Wieczerzak—1111113P. Jedrzejak—9640
WSep 5 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak—61314113P. Jedrzejak—11111251
LJul 4 · 09:50J. Wieczerzak—88111182P. Jedrzejak—111163113
WJul 4 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak—911113113P. Jedrzejak—11661162
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133LSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113LSep 5 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak2.257101111132W. Wojtaszczyk1.57111279153
P. Jedrzejak10
LSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113WSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661LSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113WSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940LSep 5 · 13:55Z. Sobkow2.63111012113P. Jedrzejak1.449121061
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