TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082389
Played Sep 6Finished
Patryk Jedrzejak
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119117––––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:49 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timePatryk Jedrzejak to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatryk Jedrzejak above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Patryk Jedrzejak at 64.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jedrzejak 7–7 Oliver Vincenec Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:49What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jedrzejak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jedrzejak 1516 vs Vincenec 1337
Jedrzejak
Correct
both rated, 180 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jedrzejak 40% vs Vincenec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jedrzejak 50% vs Vincenec 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jedrzejak +1 · Vincenec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Jedrzejak) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejak form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJedrzejak 1.44 / Vincenec 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Jedrzejak)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13082389
Jedrzejak1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 171 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it97% 99 of 102
Up 1–0, closes it86% 131 of 152
Vincenec2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 193 of 490
Down 0–1, comes back25% 72 of 294
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJedrzejak6wins
AwayVincenec4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderJedrzejak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJedrzejak71.4%5 of 7
AwayVincenec66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jedrzejak7Vincenec3n = 10Jedrzejak took 7 of 10
S2Jedrzejak4Vincenec6n = 10Vincenec took 6 of 10
S3Jedrzejak7Vincenec3n = 10Jedrzejak took 7 of 10
S4Jedrzejak4Vincenec4n = 8split evenly
S5Jedrzejak3Vincenec3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJedrzejakVincenecJ − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.544.9+1.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJedrzejakVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 529 vs 641 / 142067.9%45.1%359 / 529 vs 641 / 1420Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakJedrzejak 1.44/Vincenec 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Jedrzejak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jedrzejak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 12:45P. Jedrzejak—131311692O. Vincenec—11111311113
WAug 30 · 10:20P. Jedrzejak—11612123O. Vincenec—61110101
LJul 5 · 14:45P. Jedrzejak—111212932O. Vincenec—8101411113
WJul 5 · 11:05P. Jedrzejak—1114113O. Vincenec—91250
LMay 2 · 16:20P. Jedrzejak—811111382O. Vincenec—1113811113
WMay 2 · 06:45P. Jedrzejak—1181111113O. Vincenec—91191392
WMay 1 · 12:45P. Jedrzejak—681111113O. Vincenec—11116792
WMay 1 · 10:30P. Jedrzejak—1611143O. Vincenec—144120
LApr 5 · 15:30P. Jedrzejak—12511101O. Vincenec—14116123
WApr 5 · 09:30P. Jedrzejak—1515811113O. Vincenec—131711392
P. Jedrzejak10
LSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113WSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661LSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113WSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940LSep 5 · 13:55Z. Sobkow2.63111012113P. Jedrzejak1.449121061
O. Vincenec10
LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660WSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670LSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191LSep 6 · 03:25Z. Sobkow1.6111711113O. Vincenec2.20411481WSep 3 · 14:20O. Vincenec1.28711119113K. Kowalski3.5011841172
Upcoming Matches
P. Jedrzejak
Nothing scheduled
O. Vincenec1 of 1 neutral
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