TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082391
Played Sep 6Finished
Patryk Jedrzejak
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116119114––––
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:49 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timePatryk Jedrzejak to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatryk Jedrzejak above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 52 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Patryk Jedrzejak at 60.5%
52 points played in total.
H2H Patryk Jedrzejak 1–1 Piotr Gumulinski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:49What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Jedrzejak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jedrzejak 1506 vs Gumulinski 1403
Jedrzejak
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jedrzejak 20% vs Gumulinski 80%
Gumulinski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jedrzejak 50% vs Gumulinski 70%
Gumulinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jedrzejak -2 · Gumulinski +3
Gumulinski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Jedrzejak) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJedrzejak 1.44 / Gumulinski 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Jedrzejak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13082391
Jedrzejak1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite74% won 166 of 224
Up 2–0, closes it97% 96 of 99
Up 1–0, closes it87% 127 of 146
Gumulinski2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog56% won 141 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back43% 60 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back19% 12 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJedrzejak1wins
AwayGumulinski1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricJedrzejakGumulinskiJ − GBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match40.035.0+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJedrzejakGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 529 vs 1015 / 180767.9%56.2%359 / 529 vs 1015 / 1807Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakJedrzejak 1.44/Gumulinski 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Jedrzejak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jedrzejak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJan 24 · 06:30P. Jedrzejak—951111102P. Gumulinski—111154123
WApr 28 · 23:30P. Jedrzejak—1112113P. Gumulinski—81090
P. Jedrzejak10
LSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113WSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113LSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661LSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113LSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113WSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113WSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970LSep 5 · 13:55Z. Sobkow2.63111012113P. Jedrzejak1.449121061
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652WSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661WSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113WSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113WSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191WSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281WSep 5 · 02:10A. Szurgot5.5010711101P. Gumulinski1.1312113123
Upcoming Matches
P. Jedrzejak
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P. Gumulinski
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