TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082249
Played Sep 6Finished
Jacek Wieczerzak
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911114119711811
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:19 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeJacek Wieczerzak to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJacek Wieczerzak above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jacek Wieczerzak at 61.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 1–3 Piotr Gumulinski Jacek Wieczerzak has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:19What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Wieczerzak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Gumulinski
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1462 vs Gumulinski 1534
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 20% vs Gumulinski 80%
Gumulinski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 40% vs Gumulinski 70%
Gumulinski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak -4 · Gumulinski +2
Wieczerzak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Wieczerzak) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 1.61 / Gumulinski 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 45%
Edge (Wieczerzak)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13082249
Wieczerzak1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 75 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it75% 56 of 75
Gumulinski2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog58% won 145 of 251
Down 0–1, comes back45% 62 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back19% 12 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWieczerzak1wins
AwayGumulinski3wins
2 of 4 to a deciderGumulinski leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWieczerzak33.3%1 of 3
AwayGumulinskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wieczerzak3Gumulinski1n = 4Wieczerzak took 3 of 4
S2Wieczerzak2Gumulinski2n = 4split evenly
S3Wieczerzak3Gumulinski1n = 4Wieczerzak took 3 of 4
S4Wieczerzak0Gumulinski3n = 3Gumulinski took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricWieczerzakGumulinskiW − GBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.038.5+1.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime135 / 253 vs 1024 / 181653.4%56.4%135 / 253 vs 1024 / 1816Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WieczerzakWieczerzak 1.61/Gumulinski 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Wieczerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 6 · 13:05J. Wieczerzak—13615652P. Gumulinski—11111311113
LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak—91111782P. Gumulinski—114911113
LAug 8 · 13:55J. Wieczerzak—117991P. Gumulinski—31111113
WAug 8 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak—1111113P. Gumulinski—6450
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133LSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113LSep 5 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak2.257101111132W. Wojtaszczyk1.57111279153
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652WSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661WSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113WSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191WSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281LSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940WSep 5 · 02:10A. Szurgot5.5010711101P. Gumulinski1.1312113123
Upcoming Matches
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P. Gumulinski
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