TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082707
Played Sep 6Finished
Jacek Wieczerzak
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111210119411411
Oliver Vincenec
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:11 and never touched — 71.6% is still 71.6%
Graded at full timeJacek Wieczerzak to win
71.6%
71.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJacek Wieczerzak above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 92 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Jacek Wieczerzak at 71.6%
92 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 3–1 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Wieczerzak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Wieczerzak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1466 vs Vincenec 1312
Wieczerzak
Wrong
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 40% vs Vincenec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 40% vs Vincenec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak -1 · Vincenec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Wieczerzak) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vincenec form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 1.28 / Vincenec 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Wieczerzak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13082707
Wieczerzak1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Vincenec3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 193 of 490
Down 0–1, comes back25% 72 of 294
Down 0–2, comes back9% 13 of 144
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWieczerzak3wins
AwayVincenec1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderWieczerzak leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWieczerzak100%3 of 3
AwayVincenecn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wieczerzak3Vincenec1n = 4Wieczerzak took 3 of 4
S2Wieczerzak3Vincenec1n = 4Wieczerzak took 3 of 4
S3Wieczerzak2Vincenec2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricWieczerzakVincenecW − VBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match35.530.5+5.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 250 vs 643 / 142653.6%45.1%134 / 250 vs 643 / 1426Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WieczerzakWieczerzak 1.28/Vincenec 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.9%
Wieczerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 29 · 11:25J. Wieczerzak—1111113O. Vincenec—9590
WAug 29 · 05:15J. Wieczerzak—1111113O. Vincenec—5960
WAug 10 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak—1111812113O. Vincenec—74111482
LAug 10 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak—66110O. Vincenec—1111133
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133LSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113LSep 5 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak2.257101111132W. Wojtaszczyk1.57111279153
O. Vincenec10
LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660WSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670LSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191LSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970LSep 6 · 03:25Z. Sobkow1.6111711113O. Vincenec2.20411481WSep 3 · 14:20O. Vincenec1.28711119113K. Kowalski3.5011841172
Upcoming Matches
J. Wieczerzak
Nothing scheduled
O. Vincenec1 of 1 neutral
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