TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077675
Played Sep 5Finished
Jacek Wieczerzak
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71110121171191315
Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:00 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeWojciech Wojtaszczyk to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJacek Wieczerzak above · Wojciech Wojtaszczyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 106 set 5, 13-15 — our read held Wojciech Wojtaszczyk at 58.9%
106 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 1–2 Wojciech Wojtaszczyk Jacek Wieczerzak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:00What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wieczerzak 1543 vs Wojtaszczyk 1458
Wieczerzak
Wrong
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wieczerzak 80% vs Wojtaszczyk 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wieczerzak 70% vs Wojtaszczyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wieczerzak +2 · Wojtaszczyk +4
Wojtaszczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Wojtaszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wojtaszczyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWieczerzak 2.25 / Wojtaszczyk 1.57
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Wojtaszczyk)-2.8pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13077675
Wieczerzak2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 35 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Wojtaszczyk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 364 of 524
Up 2–0, closes it97% 196 of 203
Up 1–0, closes it84% 284 of 337
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWieczerzak1wins
AwayWojtaszczyk2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderWojtaszczyk leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wieczerzak1Wojtaszczyk2n = 3Wojtaszczyk took 2 of 3
S2Wieczerzak1Wojtaszczyk2n = 3Wojtaszczyk took 2 of 3
S3Wieczerzak1Wojtaszczyk2n = 3Wojtaszczyk took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricWieczerzakWojtaszczykWieczerzak − WojtaszczykBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.038.7−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWieczerzakWojtaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 242 vs 533 / 79154.6%67.4%132 / 242 vs 533 / 791Avg sets wonper match2.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WojtaszczykWieczerzak 2.25/Wojtaszczyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.1%
Wojtaszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wojtaszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 5 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak—118119113W. Wojtaszczyk—81141162
LJul 19 · 14:45J. Wieczerzak—10870W. Wojtaszczyk—1211113
LJul 19 · 11:05J. Wieczerzak—6111181W. Wojtaszczyk—11713113
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133LSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
W. Wojtaszczyk10
LSep 6 · 16:40R. Wojcik2.901011124113W. Wojtaszczyk1.34127101142WSep 6 · 15:55M. Oracz2.006860W. Wojtaszczyk1.711111113LSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 13:10R. Piechnik2.258611101W. Wojtaszczyk1.5711115123LSep 6 · 11:30K. Slawinski1.73511712113W. Wojtaszczyk2.00119111092WSep 6 · 10:40R. Wojcik2.60108100W. Wojtaszczyk1.441211123LSep 6 · 09:55M. Oracz1.841111113W. Wojtaszczyk1.839980LSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101LSep 6 · 07:10K. Slawinski1.47101111133W. Wojtaszczyk2.451265111LSep 6 · 05:30R. Piechnik—1112133W. Wojtaszczyk—410110
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