TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082453
Played Sep 6Finished
Piotr Gumulinski
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131161315116115
Jacek Wieczerzak
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:09 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeJacek Wieczerzak to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Gumulinski above · Jacek Wieczerzak below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 102 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Jacek Wieczerzak at 58.5%
102 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 2–1 Jacek Wieczerzak Jacek Wieczerzak has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:09What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Wieczerzak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1502 vs Wieczerzak 1459
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 100% vs Wieczerzak 40%
Gumulinski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 90% vs Wieczerzak 30%
Gumulinski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski +5 · Wieczerzak -2
Gumulinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Wieczerzak) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wieczerzak form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 2.10 / Wieczerzak 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Wieczerzak)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13082453
Gumulinski2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog56% won 141 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back43% 60 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back19% 12 of 65
Wieczerzak1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 74 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeGumulinski2wins
AwayWieczerzak1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderGumulinski leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gumulinski1Wieczerzak2n = 3Wieczerzak took 2 of 3
S2Gumulinski1Wieczerzak2n = 3Wieczerzak took 2 of 3
S3Gumulinski1Wieczerzak2n = 3Wieczerzak took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricGumulinskiWieczerzakG − WBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.338.3−6.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiWieczerzakBasisWin rate · lifetime1022 / 1814 vs 134 / 25156.3%53.4%1022 / 1814 vs 134 / 251Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WieczerzakGumulinski 2.10/Wieczerzak 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Wieczerzak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 6 · 06:55P. Gumulinski—114911113J. Wieczerzak—91111782
WAug 8 · 13:55P. Gumulinski—31111113J. Wieczerzak—117991
LAug 8 · 04:10P. Gumulinski—6450J. Wieczerzak—1111113
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661WSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113WSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113WSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191WSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281LSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940WSep 5 · 02:10A. Szurgot5.5010711101P. Gumulinski1.1312113123
J. Wieczerzak10
WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133LSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113LSep 5 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak2.257101111132W. Wojtaszczyk1.57111279153
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