TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082366
Played Sep 6Finished
Zbigniew Sobkow
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1159119111513911
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:48 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Sobkow to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZbigniew Sobkow above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 104 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Zbigniew Sobkow at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:48What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sobkow
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sobkow 1446 vs Gumulinski 1426
Sobkow
Wrong
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sobkow 60% vs Gumulinski 80%
Gumulinski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sobkow 40% vs Gumulinski 80%
Gumulinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sobkow -2 · Gumulinski +3
Gumulinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sobkow)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSobkow 1.80 / Gumulinski 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Sobkow)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13082366
Sobkow1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 27 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 20 of 27
Gumulinski1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog56% won 141 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back43% 60 of 140
Down 0–2, comes back19% 12 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSobkowGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime41 / 73 vs 1018 / 181056.2%56.2%41 / 73 vs 1018 / 1810Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SobkowSobkow 1.80/Gumulinski 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sobkow · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gumulinski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Z. Sobkow10
LSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113LSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113WSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581LSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113LSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113WSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak1.6783110Z. Sobkow2.101111133WSep 6 · 03:25Z. Sobkow1.6111711113O. Vincenec2.20411481WSep 5 · 13:55Z. Sobkow2.63111012113P. Jedrzejak1.449121061
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652WSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661WSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113WSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191WSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281LSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940WSep 5 · 02:10A. Szurgot5.5010711101P. Gumulinski1.1312113123
Upcoming Matches
Z. Sobkow
Nothing scheduled
P. Gumulinski
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