Jacek Wieczerzak vs Zbigniew Sobkow 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082446

Played Sep 6Finished

Jacek Wieczerzak

Home

1.67

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

8113111113––––

Zbigniew Sobkow

Away

2.10

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Jacek Wieczerzak to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingJacek Wieczerzak above · Zbigniew Sobkow below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 3-11

Set 3 · 11-13

Point 57 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Jacek Wieczerzak at 54.0%

57 points played in total.

H2H Jacek Wieczerzak 3–4 Zbigniew Sobkow Jacek Wieczerzak has won 3 of their 7 meetings.

Last 7 · 3–4Same sideHead to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 12:12

What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.67 (56%)

Wieczerzak

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

3-4 in 7

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Wieczerzak 1479 vs Sobkow 1497

Sobkow

Correct

both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Wieczerzak 40% vs Sobkow 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Wieczerzak 60% vs Sobkow 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Wieczerzak -2 · Sobkow +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Wieczerzak) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Wieczerzak form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWieczerzak 1.67 / Sobkow 2.10

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Wieczerzak)+0.4pp

TT Elite Series · #13082446

Wieczerzak1.67

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite58% won 72 of 124

Up 2–0, closes it93% 39 of 42

Up 1–0, closes it77% 54 of 70

Sobkow2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog47% won 8 of 17

Down 0–1, comes back25% 2 of 8

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 7 meetings

HomeWieczerzak3wins

AwaySobkow4wins

3 of 7 to a deciderSobkow leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeWieczerzakn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwaySobkow60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Wieczerzak2Sobkow5n = 7Sobkow took 5 of 7

S2Wieczerzak2Sobkow5n = 7Sobkow took 5 of 7

S3Wieczerzak5Sobkow2n = 7Wieczerzak took 5 of 7

S4Wieczerzak3Sobkow1n = 4Wieczerzak took 3 of 4

S5Wieczerzak1Sobkow2n = 3Sobkow took 2 of 3

How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home114%

3–1Four sets, home114%

3–2Decider, home114%

2–3Decider, away229%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away229%

These 7 meetings

MetricWieczerzakSobkowW − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match38.037.0+1.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricWieczerzakSobkowBasisWin rate · lifetime132 / 245 vs 41 / 7153.9%57.8%132 / 245 vs 41 / 71Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Wieczerzak

Wieczerzak 1.67/Sobkow 2.10

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56.2%

Wieczerzak · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Sobkow won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record7

LSep 6 · 04:10J. Wieczerzak—83110Z. Sobkow—1111133

WSep 5 · 12:40J. Wieczerzak—1111133Z. Sobkow—65110

LSep 5 · 06:30J. Wieczerzak—7990Z. Sobkow—1111113

WAug 23 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak—1171111133Z. Sobkow—131122112

WAug 23 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak—31111113Z. Sobkow—116351

LAug 22 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak—147121072Z. Sobkow—12111012113

LAug 22 · 08:10J. Wieczerzak—77111192Z. Sobkow—111188113

J. Wieczerzak10

WSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113 LSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652 LSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113 LSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123 WSep 6 · 09:50P. Jedrzejak1.573780J. Wieczerzak2.251111113 WSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660 LSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113 LSep 6 · 05:40J. Wieczerzak2.009680P. Jedrzejak1.731111113 LSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113 LSep 5 · 14:20J. Wieczerzak2.257101111132W. Wojtaszczyk1.57111279153

Z. Sobkow10

LSep 6 · 13:55Z. Sobkow1.834810J. Wieczerzak1.831111113 LSep 6 · 12:40Z. Sobkow2.3891270P. Jedrzejak1.531114113 WSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581 LSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192 WSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951 LSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113 LSep 6 · 06:30Z. Sobkow2.006650P. Jedrzejak1.731111113 LSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113 WSep 6 · 03:25Z. Sobkow1.6111711113O. Vincenec2.20411481 WSep 5 · 13:55Z. Sobkow2.63111012113P. Jedrzejak1.449121061

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