TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077898
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrzej Szurgot
Home
5.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10127111131012––
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:10 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrzej Szurgot above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 76 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Piotr Gumulinski at 67.7%
76 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:10What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Szurgot 1159 vs Gumulinski 1404
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 246 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szurgot 20% vs Gumulinski 60%
Gumulinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szurgot 20% vs Gumulinski 50%
Gumulinski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szurgot -4 · Gumulinski +2
Szurgot
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (60%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzurgot 5.50 / Gumulinski 1.13
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Gumulinski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13077898
Szurgot5.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog18% won 6 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Gumulinski1.13
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 336 of 567
Up 2–0, closes it92% 154 of 167
Up 1–0, closes it75% 228 of 306
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzurgotGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 59 vs 1014 / 180520.3%56.2%12 / 59 vs 1014 / 1805Avg sets wonper match1.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match30.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiSzurgot 5.50/Gumulinski 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.8%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gumulinski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Szurgot10
LSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113WSep 6 · 24:20A. Szurgot2.61911811113R. Wiza1.4411711782LSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133LSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 20:20R. Wiza1.591111113A. Szurgot2.186680LSep 5 · 19:30A. Szurgot2.203590R. Adach1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652WSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661WSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113WSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113WSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191WSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281LSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940
Upcoming Matches
A. Szurgot
Nothing scheduled
P. Gumulinski
Event Chatroom
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