TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078446
Played Sep 5Finished
Andrzej Szurgot
Home
4.50
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
31113119111113––
Pawel Polok
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:59 and never touched — 75.2% is still 75.2%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
75.2%
75.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
31113119111113––
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Szurgot 1110 vs Polok 1491
Polok
Correct
both rated, 382 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szurgot 0% vs Polok 80%
Polok
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szurgot 0% vs Polok 80%
Polok
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szurgot -5 · Polok +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szurgot form (0%) is below what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzurgot 4.50 / Polok 1.17
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Polok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13078446
Szurgot4.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog19% won 8 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Polok1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 63 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzurgotPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime12 / 64 vs 101 / 15918.8%63.5%12 / 64 vs 101 / 159Avg sets wonper match1.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match30.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
PolokSzurgot 4.50/Polok 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.2%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Polok won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Szurgot10
LSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113WSep 6 · 24:20A. Szurgot2.61911811113R. Wiza1.4411711782LSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 20:20R. Wiza1.591111113A. Szurgot2.186680LSep 5 · 19:30A. Szurgot2.203590R. Adach1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113LSep 5 · 02:10A. Szurgot5.5010711101P. Gumulinski1.1312113123
P. Polok10
WSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113LSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151WSep 5 · 21:55R. Adach3.154330P. Polok1.291111113WSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 17:30R. Wiza3.251011641P. Polok1.2812911113LSep 3 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.70512117123P. Polok1.951110811102
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