TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084503
Played Sep 5Finished
Lukasz Bernacki
Home
2.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11310121141715––
Pawel Polok
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
11310121141715––
H2H Lukasz Bernacki 0–1 Pawel Polok Lukasz Bernacki has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:50What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Polok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bernacki 1400 vs Polok 1494
Polok
Wrong
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bernacki 60% vs Polok 100%
Polok
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bernacki 60% vs Polok 80%
Polok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bernacki -1 · Polok +5
Polok
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBernacki 2.40 / Polok 1.50
Signal prob.39% / 62%
Edge (Polok)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13084503
Bernacki2.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 45 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Polok1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 63 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBernacki0wins
AwayPolok1wins
Polok leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricBernackiPolokB − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match20.033.0−13.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBernackiPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 524 vs 102 / 16051.9%63.8%272 / 524 vs 102 / 160Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokBernacki 2.40/Polok 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.5%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bernacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki—6860P. Polok—1111113
L. Bernacki10
LSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113WSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113LSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113WSep 5 · 20:45L. Bernacki1.5181112113R. Adach2.331191081LSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113WSep 5 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.5381111113J. Michalski2.38119631
P. Polok10
WSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113WSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133WSep 5 · 21:55R. Adach3.154330P. Polok1.291111113WSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 17:30R. Wiza3.251011641P. Polok1.2812911113LSep 3 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.70512117123P. Polok1.951110811102
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