TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13080918
Played Sep 5Finished
Lukasz Bernacki
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119116113––
Jakub Michalski
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:49 and never touched — 66.6% is still 66.6%
Graded at full timeLukasz Bernacki to win
66.6%
66.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
811119116113––
H2H Lukasz Bernacki 9–7 Jakub Michalski Jakub Michalski has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:49What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bernacki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Bernacki
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bernacki 1398 vs Michalski 1110
Bernacki
Correct
both rated, 289 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bernacki 40% vs Michalski 0%
Bernacki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bernacki 60% vs Michalski 0%
Bernacki
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bernacki -1 · Michalski -5
Michalski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bernacki) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalski form (0%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBernacki 1.53 / Michalski 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Bernacki)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13080918
Bernacki1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 65 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 51 of 63
Michalski2.38
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog30% won 91 of 308
Down 0–1, comes back12% 25 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 137
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBernacki6wins
AwayMichalski4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBernacki leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBernacki100%5 of 5
AwayMichalski80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bernacki5Michalski5n = 10split evenly
S2Bernacki4Michalski6n = 10Michalski took 6 of 10
S3Bernacki8Michalski2n = 10Bernacki took 8 of 10
S4Bernacki3Michalski4n = 7Michalski took 4 of 7
S5Bernacki2Michalski1n = 3Bernacki took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBernackiMichalskiB − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.236.5+2.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBernackiMichalskiBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 517 vs 412 / 107351.8%38.4%268 / 517 vs 412 / 1073Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.533.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BernackiBernacki 1.53/Michalski 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Bernacki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bernacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 19:30L. Bernacki—111011113J. Michalski—412181
LJan 8 · 08:30L. Bernacki—87111172J. Michalski—111177113
LNov 23 · 05:40L. Bernacki—571221J. Michalski—111110113
WNov 22 · 23:40L. Bernacki—1110119113J. Michalski—81281182
WNov 22 · 05:40L. Bernacki—1111113J. Michalski—9660
WNov 21 · 23:40L. Bernacki—1111123J. Michalski—93100
LAug 19 · 15:55L. Bernacki—611120J. Michalski—1113143
LAug 19 · 09:55L. Bernacki—8111681J. Michalski—11718113
WJul 26 · 14:20L. Bernacki—118114113J. Michalski—81191162
WApr 5 · 01:30L. Bernacki—101111113J. Michalski—126751
L. Bernacki10
LSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113WSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151LSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113WSep 5 · 20:45L. Bernacki1.5181112113R. Adach2.331191081LSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113
J. Michalski10
LSep 5 · 03:55J. Michalski2.2011960D. Fira1.571311113LSep 5 · 02:45R. Wiza1.50111310113J. Michalski2.408111281LSep 5 · 01:30K. Juszczyk1.251111113J. Michalski3.708970LSep 4 · 23:55R. Szymik1.131111123J. Michalski4.9535100LSep 4 · 23:05R. Wiza1.601511113J. Michalski2.1013770LSep 4 · 21:55J. Michalski2.0011890D. Fira1.711311113LSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100LSep 4 · 19:30L. Bernacki1.28111011113J. Michalski3.25412181LSep 4 · 17:55R. Szymik1.121111113J. Michalski5.208570LAug 30 · 04:40K. Juszczyk1.2311117113J. Michalski3.60871151
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