TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13080921
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Michalski
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113911611––––
Damian Fira
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:49 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeDamian Fira to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
1113911611––––
H2H Jakub Michalski 48–58 Damian Fira Jakub Michalski has won 48 of their 106 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Fira
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-58 in 106
Fira
Correct
gap of 10 in 106, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalski 1105 vs Fira 1265
Fira
Correct
both rated, 160 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalski 0% vs Fira 40%
Fira
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalski 0% vs Fira 50%
Fira
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalski -5 · Fira -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Fira)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fira form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalski 2.20 / Fira 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Fira)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13080921
Michalski2.20
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As underdog30% won 91 of 308
Down 0–1, comes back12% 25 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 137
Fira1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 47 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it72% 36 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalski1wins
AwayFira9wins
5 of 10 to a deciderFira leads 9–1, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalski33.3%1 of 3
AwayFira100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalski3Fira7n = 10Fira took 7 of 10
S2Michalski4Fira6n = 10Fira took 6 of 10
S3Michalski4Fira6n = 10Fira took 6 of 10
S4Michalski3Fira4n = 7Fira took 4 of 7
S5Michalski0Fira5n = 5Fira took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalskiFiraM − FBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.842.0−4.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalskiFiraBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 1074 vs 204 / 46938.4%43.5%412 / 1074 vs 204 / 469Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiraMichalski 2.20/Fira 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Fira · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fira won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 03:55J. Michalski—11960D. Fira—1311113
LSep 4 · 21:55J. Michalski—11890D. Fira—1311113
LAug 15 · 03:55J. Michalski—91111892D. Fira—114911113
LAug 14 · 21:55J. Michalski—11811572D. Fira—511911113
LAug 9 · 03:55J. Michalski—11940D. Fira—1311113
LAug 8 · 21:55J. Michalski—1011581D. Fira—12411113
LAug 8 · 03:55J. Michalski—11116592D. Fira—591111113
LAug 7 · 21:55J. Michalski—81841192D. Fira—1116118113
WAug 1 · 23:30J. Michalski—11811113D. Fira—611491
LAug 1 · 19:10J. Michalski—79111152D. Fira—111189113
J. Michalski10
LSep 5 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.5381111113J. Michalski2.38119631LSep 5 · 02:45R. Wiza1.50111310113J. Michalski2.408111281LSep 5 · 01:30K. Juszczyk1.251111113J. Michalski3.708970LSep 4 · 23:55R. Szymik1.131111123J. Michalski4.9535100LSep 4 · 23:05R. Wiza1.601511113J. Michalski2.1013770LSep 4 · 21:55J. Michalski2.0011890D. Fira1.711311113LSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100LSep 4 · 19:30L. Bernacki1.28111011113J. Michalski3.25412181LSep 4 · 17:55R. Szymik1.121111113J. Michalski5.208570LAug 30 · 04:40K. Juszczyk1.2311117113J. Michalski3.60871151
D. Fira10
LSep 5 · 04:40K. Juszczyk1.23111211133D. Fira3.6013109111LSep 5 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4611311113D. Fira2.54911631LSep 5 · 01:10R. Wiza2.001191210113D. Fira1.71711101292LSep 4 · 23:30L. Bernacki1.5471111113D. Fira2.27117481WSep 4 · 22:40L. Bernacki1.7591350D. Fira1.951115113WSep 4 · 21:55J. Michalski2.0011890D. Fira1.711311113WSep 4 · 19:55R. Szymik1.4796100D. Fira2.451111123LSep 4 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.06101111113D. Fira6.75125251WSep 4 · 17:30R. Wiza2.00711111062D. Fira1.73117912113LAug 23 · 04:40J. Nowak2.2512125133D. Fira1.55101011111
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