TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078812
Played Sep 4Finished
Pawel Gasiorski
Home
1.06
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012115112115––
Damian Fira
Away
6.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timePawel Gasiorski to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
1012115112115––
H2H Pawel Gasiorski 2–0 Damian Fira Damian Fira has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.06 (86%)
Gasiorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Gasiorski 1597 vs Fira 1241
Gasiorski
Correct
both rated, 356 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gasiorski 60% vs Fira 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gasiorski 60% vs Fira 40%
Gasiorski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gasiorski -1 · Fira +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Gasiorski) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fira form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (15%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGasiorski 1.06 / Fira 6.75
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Gasiorski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13078812
Gasiorski1.06
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite81% won 105 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it83% 66 of 80
Fira6.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 94 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back23% 30 of 128
Down 0–2, comes back12% 8 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeGasiorski2wins
AwayFira0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderGasiorski leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricGasiorskiFiraG − FBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match54.047.5+6.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGasiorskiFiraBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 250 vs 200 / 46079.6%43.5%199 / 250 vs 200 / 460Avg sets wonper match2.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match41.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasiorskiGasiorski 1.06/Fira 6.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
89.2%
Gasiorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gasiorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJan 21 · 16:30P. Gasiorski—1211117123D. Fira—142611102
WJan 21 · 11:20P. Gasiorski—12111010123D. Fira—1081212102
P. Gasiorski10
WSep 4 · 22:20R. Szymik3.508850P. Gasiorski1.261111113LSep 4 · 21:30R. Wiza5.201111113P. Gasiorski1.128640WSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100LSep 4 · 18:20L. Bernacki3.4012126113P. Gasiorski1.2510101191WSep 1 · 20:00P. Zemla2.331071141P. Gasiorski1.5112119113WSep 1 · 19:10P. Kaczynski3.3061040P. Gasiorski1.271112113WSep 1 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.111215143R. Adach5.301013120LSep 1 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.39511711132M. Tkocz2.70117111153WSep 1 · 16:00W. Pytlas3.80591191P. Gasiorski1.2111115113WAug 27 · 20:00M. Tkocz2.6510360P. Gasiorski1.401211113
D. Fira10
LSep 5 · 04:40K. Juszczyk1.23111211133D. Fira3.6013109111WSep 5 · 03:55J. Michalski2.2011960D. Fira1.571311113LSep 5 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4611311113D. Fira2.54911631LSep 5 · 01:10R. Wiza2.001191210113D. Fira1.71711101292LSep 4 · 23:30L. Bernacki1.5471111113D. Fira2.27117481WSep 4 · 22:40L. Bernacki1.7591350D. Fira1.951115113WSep 4 · 21:55J. Michalski2.0011890D. Fira1.711311113WSep 4 · 19:55R. Szymik1.4796100D. Fira2.451111123WSep 4 · 17:30R. Wiza2.00711111062D. Fira1.73117912113LAug 23 · 04:40J. Nowak2.2512125133D. Fira1.55101011111
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