TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12478752
Played Aug 23Finished
Jakub Nowak
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
121012105111311––
Damian Fira
Away
1.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
121012105111311––
H2H Jakub Nowak 17–24 Damian Fira Jakub Nowak has won 17 of their 41 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Fira)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fira form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNowak 2.25 / Fira 1.55
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Fira)+1.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12478752
Nowak2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 239 of 666
Down 0–1, comes back21% 86 of 403
Down 0–2, comes back9% 21 of 225
Fira1.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 48 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it73% 38 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNowak5wins
AwayFira5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNowak66.7%4 of 6
AwayFira75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nowak6Fira4n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S2Nowak4Fira6n = 10Fira took 6 of 10
S3Nowak6Fira4n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S4Nowak2Fira5n = 7Fira took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNowakFiraN − FBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.436.1+0.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNowakFiraBasisWin rate · lifetime662 / 1734 vs 207 / 49438.2%41.9%662 / 1734 vs 207 / 494Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiraNowak 2.25/Fira 1.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Fira · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 22 · 04:40J. Nowak—9790D. Fira—1111113
WAug 21 · 22:40J. Nowak—11711113D. Fira—511881
LAug 15 · 05:05J. Nowak—1191071D. Fira—91112113
WAug 14 · 20:45J. Nowak—81111113D. Fira—119981
WAug 9 · 01:30J. Nowak—1111113D. Fira—8750
LAug 8 · 19:30J. Nowak—119671D. Fira—71111113
WJul 11 · 24:45J. Nowak—111166113D. Fira—79111172
LJul 10 · 22:20J. Nowak—8101261D. Fira—111210113
WJul 4 · 02:20J. Nowak—1111143D. Fira—48120
LJul 3 · 18:20J. Nowak—8911101D. Fira—11119123
J. Nowak10
WSep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91111575113R. Niemiec1.80913111192WSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113LSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130LSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113LSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113WSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123LSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971WSep 6 · 23:10J. Nowak1.3413116113R. Ogon2.901181181LSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113
D. Fira10
LSep 5 · 04:40K. Juszczyk1.23111211133D. Fira3.6013109111WSep 5 · 03:55J. Michalski2.2011960D. Fira1.571311113LSep 5 · 01:55R. Szymik1.4611311113D. Fira2.54911631LSep 5 · 01:10R. Wiza2.001191210113D. Fira1.71711101292LSep 4 · 23:30L. Bernacki1.5471111113D. Fira2.27117481WSep 4 · 22:40L. Bernacki1.7591350D. Fira1.951115113WSep 4 · 21:55J. Michalski2.0011890D. Fira1.711311113WSep 4 · 19:55R. Szymik1.4796100D. Fira2.451111123LSep 4 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.06101111113D. Fira6.75125251WSep 4 · 17:30R. Wiza2.00711111062D. Fira1.73117912113
Upcoming Matches
J. Nowak
Sep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 7 · 18:45J. Nowak—M. Sikon——Sep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 7 · 21:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——Sep 7 · 22:20J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 8 · 01:30J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 8 · 03:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——Sep 8 · 04:20J. Nowak—M. Sikon——
D. Fira
Nothing scheduled
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