TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082510
Played Sep 6Finished
Jakub Nowak
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311211117411––
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
1.42
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Nowak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
311211117411––
H2H Jakub Nowak 35–61 Krzysztof Schaniel Jakub Nowak has won 35 of their 96 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:28What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (65%)
Schaniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-61 in 96
Schaniel
Correct
gap of 26 in 96, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nowak 1323 vs Schaniel 1300
Nowak
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nowak 40% vs Schaniel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nowak 40% vs Schaniel 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nowak -3 · Schaniel +2
Nowak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schaniel form (40%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNowak 2.60 / Schaniel 1.42
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Schaniel)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13082510
Nowak2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As underdog36% won 241 of 672
Down 0–1, comes back21% 86 of 407
Down 0–2, comes back9% 21 of 236
Schaniel1.42
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 217 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it90% 102 of 114
Up 1–0, closes it77% 161 of 209
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNowak6wins
AwaySchaniel4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNowak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNowak83.3%5 of 6
AwaySchaniel75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nowak6Schaniel4n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S2Nowak7Schaniel3n = 10Nowak took 7 of 10
S3Nowak5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S4Nowak5Schaniel3n = 8Nowak took 5 of 8
S5Nowak1Schaniel2n = 3Schaniel took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNowakSchanielN − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.839.7+1.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNowakSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime671 / 1735 vs 871 / 173938.7%50.1%671 / 1735 vs 871 / 1739Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielNowak 2.60/Schaniel 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 15:30J. Nowak—111210113K. Schaniel—9101281
LAug 6 · 09:30J. Nowak—5713101K. Schaniel—111111123
WAug 4 · 23:20J. Nowak—611712113K. Schaniel—116111092
WJul 27 · 04:20J. Nowak—1112113K. Schaniel—51090
LJul 26 · 18:45J. Nowak—109121152K. Schaniel—1211106113
WJun 3 · 01:10J. Nowak—111014113K. Schaniel—9121251
WJun 2 · 24:20J. Nowak—11118113K. Schaniel—981191
LJun 1 · 20:20J. Nowak—111171162K. Schaniel—991113113
LJun 1 · 24:20J. Nowak—911961K. Schaniel—11811113
WMay 31 · 20:20J. Nowak—1111113K. Schaniel—8870
J. Nowak10
LSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130LSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113LSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113WSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123LSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971WSep 6 · 23:10J. Nowak1.3413116113R. Ogon2.901181181LSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571LSep 5 · 13:30J. Nowak2.389111371W. Wojtaszczyk1.5311915113LSep 5 · 12:15P. Jedrzejak1.2541111143J. Nowak3.751146121
K. Schaniel10
WSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113WSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:25K. Schaniel1.27111110113R. Ogon3.20391241WSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 5 · 01:45K. Schaniel1.611111113G. Sawicki2.205670WSep 5 · 24:35K. Schaniel1.571111113A. Szurgot2.256870LSep 4 · 23:20K. Schaniel2.20911111152P. Gumulinski1.61119813113
Upcoming Matches
J. Nowak
Sep 7 · 06:30J. Nowak2.00K. Schaniel1.73—Sep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91R. Niemiec1.80—Sep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 7 · 18:45J. Nowak—M. Sikon——Sep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 7 · 21:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——Sep 7 · 22:20J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 8 · 01:30J. Nowak—P. Kurek——
K. Schaniel
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