TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089590
Played Sep 7Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
1.27
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1131191012114––
Rafal Ogon
Away
3.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:44 and never touched — 78.8% is still 78.8%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
78.8%
78.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
1131191012114––
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 6–0 Rafal Ogon Rafal Ogon has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:44What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Schaniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Schaniel
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1332 vs Ogon 1117
Schaniel
Correct
both rated, 216 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 80% vs Ogon 20%
Schaniel
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 50% vs Ogon 20%
Schaniel
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel +4 · Ogon -2
Schaniel
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ogon form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 1.27 / Ogon 3.20
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Schaniel)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13089590
Schaniel1.27
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 217 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it90% 102 of 114
Up 1–0, closes it77% 161 of 209
Ogon3.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 41 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back13% 13 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSchaniel6wins
AwayOgon0wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSchaniel leads 6–0, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel100%5 of 5
AwayOgonn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel5Ogon1n = 6Schaniel took 5 of 6
S2Schaniel6Ogon0n = 6Schaniel took 6 of 6
S3Schaniel2Ogon4n = 6Ogon took 4 of 6
S4Schaniel3Ogon1n = 4Schaniel took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSchanielOgonS − OBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.731.5+10.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielOgonBasisWin rate · lifetime873 / 1741 vs 116 / 44950.1%25.8%873 / 1741 vs 116 / 449Avg sets wonper match2.11.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.133.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielSchaniel 1.27/Ogon 3.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.6%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 8 · 24:45K. Schaniel—1111113R. Ogon—5740
WAug 7 · 19:35K. Schaniel—1111113R. Ogon—9630
WJul 8 · 21:35K. Schaniel—1112107113R. Ogon—510121182
WJul 8 · 15:35K. Schaniel—911811113R. Ogon—11911672
WJun 26 · 13:10K. Schaniel—12119113R. Ogon—1081171
WJun 26 · 05:30K. Schaniel—11117113R. Ogon—861141
K. Schaniel10
LSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113WSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113WSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113WSep 5 · 01:45K. Schaniel1.611111113G. Sawicki2.205670WSep 5 · 24:35K. Schaniel1.571111113A. Szurgot2.256870
R. Ogon10
LSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 01:35R. Ogon5.00671171J. Pruszkowski1.1211119113LSep 6 · 23:10J. Nowak1.3413116113R. Ogon2.901181181LSep 6 · 21:35S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.506540LSep 6 · 20:20R. Ogon3.85712751S. Krupa1.20111011113WSep 6 · 18:45G. Sawicki1.605119131R. Ogon2.1011411153LSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 17:10R. Ogon2.60161171W. Jozala1.4211119113LSep 6 · 16:00R. Ogon5.254780K. Juszczyk1.111111113LAug 17 · 02:20R. Ogon3.959850P. Adamus1.191111113
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