TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089779
Played Sep 7Finished
Rafal Ogon
Home
5.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711119711––
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
1.12
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:40 and never touched — 86.1% is still 86.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
86.1%
86.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
611711119711––
H2H Rafal Ogon 1–7 Jakub Pruszkowski Rafal Ogon has won 1 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.12 (82%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-7 in 8
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 6 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ogon 1104 vs Pruszkowski 1394
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 290 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ogon 20% vs Pruszkowski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ogon 10% vs Pruszkowski 50%
Pruszkowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ogon -4 · Pruszkowski -2
Ogon
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Pruszkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOgon 5.00 / Pruszkowski 1.12
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13089779
Ogon5.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog27% won 41 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back13% 13 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 69
Pruszkowski1.12
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 461 of 710
Up 2–0, closes it96% 240 of 251
Up 1–0, closes it83% 357 of 429
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeOgon1wins
AwayPruszkowski7wins
1 of 8 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 7–1, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOgonn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPruszkowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ogon2Pruszkowski6n = 8Pruszkowski took 6 of 8
S2Ogon1Pruszkowski7n = 8Pruszkowski took 7 of 8
S3Ogon1Pruszkowski7n = 8Pruszkowski took 7 of 8
S4Ogon2Pruszkowski1n = 3Ogon took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away563%
These 8 meetings
MetricOgonPruszkowskiO − PBasisWins17−6in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match28.038.0−10.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOgonPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 451 vs 1130 / 179125.7%63.1%116 / 451 vs 1130 / 1791Avg sets wonper match1.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match33.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiOgon 5.00/Pruszkowski 1.12
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86.1%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJan 5 · 02:35R. Ogon—59100J. Pruszkowski—1111123
LJan 4 · 20:35R. Ogon—13471452J. Pruszkowski—11111112113
LAug 6 · 23:10R. Ogon—510110J. Pruszkowski—1112133
LAug 6 · 17:10R. Ogon—119871J. Pruszkowski—81111113
LAug 4 · 04:20R. Ogon—8330J. Pruszkowski—1111113
LAug 3 · 18:45R. Ogon—61160J. Pruszkowski—1113113
WJun 26 · 12:20R. Ogon—71112113J. Pruszkowski—1161091
LJun 26 · 08:20R. Ogon—9450J. Pruszkowski—1111113
R. Ogon10
LSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 24:25K. Schaniel1.27111110113R. Ogon3.20391241LSep 6 · 23:10J. Nowak1.3413116113R. Ogon2.901181181LSep 6 · 21:35S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.506540LSep 6 · 20:20R. Ogon3.85712751S. Krupa1.20111011113WSep 6 · 18:45G. Sawicki1.605119131R. Ogon2.1011411153LSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 17:10R. Ogon2.60161171W. Jozala1.4211119113LSep 6 · 16:00R. Ogon5.254780K. Juszczyk1.111111113LAug 17 · 02:20R. Ogon3.959850P. Adamus1.191111113
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113LSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070LSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101LSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153LSep 4 · 14:40Z. Sobkow1.671011711113J. Pruszkowski2.1012711662LSep 4 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski1.44591171P. Kurek2.6311118113WSep 4 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk4.004150J. Pruszkowski1.221111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Ogon
Nothing scheduled
J. Pruszkowski
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