TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087229
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119115––––
Rafal Niemiec
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:01 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Pruszkowski above · Rafal Niemiec below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 54 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 61.6%
54 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:01What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1389 vs Niemiec 1329
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 40% vs Niemiec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 40% vs Niemiec 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +1 · Niemiec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.57 / Niemiec 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13087229
Pruszkowski1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 461 of 710
Up 2–0, closes it96% 240 of 251
Up 1–0, closes it83% 357 of 429
Niemiec2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 21 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiNiemiecBasisWin rate · lifetime1132 / 1794 vs 155 / 25363.1%61.3%1132 / 1794 vs 155 / 253Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.57/Niemiec 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pruszkowski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113LSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 01:35R. Ogon5.00671171J. Pruszkowski1.1211119113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101LSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153LSep 4 · 14:40Z. Sobkow1.671011711113J. Pruszkowski2.1012711662LSep 4 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski1.44591171P. Kurek2.6311118113WSep 4 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk4.004150J. Pruszkowski1.221111113
R. Niemiec10
LSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080WSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113LSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113WSep 4 · 15:30R. Niemiec2.2512611113O. Jadach1.571011471LSep 4 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.85514123122W. Tobiasz1.8511121011143LSep 4 · 12:45R. Niemiec2.409440G. Wichowski1.501111113LSep 4 · 11:30R. Niemiec2.25119791S. Szostok1.5531111113WSep 4 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.501351081R. Niemiec2.40111112113WSep 4 · 09:30O. Jadach1.6011841192R. Niemiec2.10911116113LSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113
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