TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088116
Played Sep 7Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181311411119––
Rafal Niemiec
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:53 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Przewlocki to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Rafal Niemiec below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 78 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 62.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 7–2 Rafal Niemiec Rafal Niemiec has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:53What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Przewlocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Przewlocki
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1324 vs Niemiec 1346
Niemiec
Wrong
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 20% vs Niemiec 60%
Niemiec
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 40% vs Niemiec 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +1 · Niemiec +3
Niemiec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.73 / Niemiec 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Przewlocki)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13088116
Przewlocki1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 127 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 113
Niemiec2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 22 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePrzewlocki7wins
AwayNiemiec2wins
7 of 9 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 7–2, and 7 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki66.7%2 of 3
AwayNiemiec16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki3Niemiec6n = 9Niemiec took 6 of 9
S2Przewlocki6Niemiec3n = 9Przewlocki took 6 of 9
S3Przewlocki5Niemiec4n = 9Przewlocki took 5 of 9
S4Przewlocki6Niemiec3n = 9Przewlocki took 6 of 9
S5Przewlocki5Niemiec2n = 7Przewlocki took 5 of 7
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home556%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiNiemiecP − NBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match47.647.2+0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiNiemiecBasisWin rate · lifetime507 / 1071 vs 159 / 26047.3%61.2%507 / 1071 vs 159 / 260Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiPrzewlocki 1.73/Niemiec 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki—11961182R. Niemiec—911115113
WAug 26 · 12:40P. Przewlocki—111165113R. Niemiec—89111192
WAug 26 · 06:30P. Przewlocki—9111110143R. Niemiec—119912122
WAug 5 · 13:05P. Przewlocki—761211113R. Niemiec—111110872
WAug 5 · 06:55P. Przewlocki—111111113R. Niemiec—139981
WJul 3 · 15:55P. Przewlocki—7121111123R. Niemiec—1110139102
LJul 3 · 09:55P. Przewlocki—712117122R. Niemiec—1110911143
WJun 22 · 10:35P. Przewlocki—1011511113R. Niemiec—12911792
WJun 22 · 03:00P. Przewlocki—111011113R. Niemiec—812781
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 7 · 12:15M. Adamus2.0011114982P. Przewlocki1.73641111113LSep 7 · 11:00K. Hetnar1.531311112113P. Przewlocki2.38111381192LSep 7 · 09:25W. Urban1.80127148113P. Przewlocki1.911011121182LSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.53811114102J. Kaczmarek2.38119611123
R. Niemiec10
LSep 7 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.53119911113R. Niemiec2.3871111982WSep 7 · 11:25W. Urban1.6795111182R. Niemiec2.10111165113WSep 7 · 10:35M. Adamus1.8013960R. Niemiec1.911511113WSep 7 · 09:00J. Kaczmarek1.806111051R. Niemiec1.9111412113LSep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91111575113R. Niemiec1.80913111192WSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113LSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113LSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113
Upcoming Matches
P. Przewlocki
Sep 8 · 03:00P. Przewlocki3.75M. Durda1.25—Sep 8 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.00R. Idaczyk1.73—Sep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.80W. Urban1.91—Sep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10P. Brozek1.67—Sep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 8 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.80W. Urban1.91—Sep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki3.75M. Durda1.25—Sep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 8 · 13:05P. Przewlocki2.10P. Brozek1.67—Sep 8 · 13:55P. Przewlocki2.00R. Idaczyk1.73—
R. Niemiec
Nothing scheduled
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