TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087254
Played Sep 7Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119911116––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:10 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMariusz Adamus above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 73 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Mariusz Adamus at 56.2%
73 points played in total.
H2H Mariusz Adamus 24–20 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 20 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:10What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-20 in 44
Adamus
Correct
gap of 4 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1303 vs Przewlocki 1356
Przewlocki
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Przewlocki 60%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Przewlocki 40%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +3 · Przewlocki -2
Adamus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.67 / Przewlocki 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Adamus)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13087254
Adamus1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 225 of 415
Up 2–0, closes it88% 85 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it72% 152 of 212
Przewlocki2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 125 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayPrzewlocki5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus60%3 of 5
AwayPrzewlocki60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S2Adamus3Przewlocki7n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S3Adamus5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamus7Przewlocki2n = 9Adamus took 7 of 9
S5Adamus2Przewlocki3n = 5Przewlocki took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusPrzewlockiA − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.042.7+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime786 / 1620 vs 506 / 106848.5%47.4%786 / 1620 vs 506 / 1068Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.67/Przewlocki 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 28 · 17:20M. Adamus—1161011113P. Przewlocki—71112482
LJul 26 · 15:05M. Adamus—12514151P. Przewlocki—141112173
LJul 26 · 09:05M. Adamus—11115972P. Przewlocki—981111113
LJul 14 · 22:10M. Adamus—8990P. Przewlocki—1111113
WJul 14 · 19:40M. Adamus—101311113P. Przewlocki—1211691
WJul 2 · 12:45M. Adamus—11612113P. Przewlocki—6111061
WJul 2 · 10:20M. Adamus—1191011113P. Przewlocki—81112772
WJun 27 · 10:35M. Adamus—81111113P. Przewlocki—119891
LJun 27 · 03:00M. Adamus—11891162P. Przewlocki—611115113
LJun 14 · 08:00M. Adamus—69111252P. Przewlocki—1111810113
M. Adamus10
WSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101WSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130WSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:35M. Adamus1.671111123M. Baron2.1098100LSep 5 · 01:00M. Adamus1.57411881G. Sawicki2.2511911113WSep 4 · 23:45M. Adamus1.5081111133A. Szurgot2.351186111WSep 4 · 22:10M. Adamus1.831111113K. Schaniel1.836680LSep 4 · 21:00M. Adamus1.801111751P. Gumulinski1.9171311113LSep 4 · 19:40K. Schaniel1.83117811113M. Adamus1.8381111652
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.53811114102J. Kaczmarek2.38119611123LSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:00P. Przewlocki1.674590O. Vincenec2.101111113WSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123
Upcoming Matches
M. Adamus
P. Przewlocki2 of 6 neutral
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