TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087288
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Pruszkowski
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1158111715118––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:19 and never touched — 66.8% is still 66.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
66.8%
66.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Pruszkowski above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 17-15
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 86 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Pruszkowski at 66.8%
86 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Pruszkowski 24–4 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 4 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:19What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-4 in 28
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 20 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pruszkowski 1389 vs Przewlocki 1333
Pruszkowski
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pruszkowski 60% vs Przewlocki 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pruszkowski 50% vs Przewlocki 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pruszkowski +2 · Przewlocki +3
Przewlocki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPruszkowski 1.53 / Przewlocki 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+4.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13087288
Pruszkowski1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 463 of 715
Up 2–0, closes it96% 240 of 251
Up 1–0, closes it83% 357 of 429
Przewlocki2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 125 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePruszkowski9wins
AwayPrzewlocki1wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePruszkowski100%7 of 7
AwayPrzewlocki33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pruszkowski7Przewlocki3n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S2Pruszkowski4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S3Pruszkowski8Przewlocki2n = 10Pruszkowski took 8 of 10
S4Pruszkowski7Przewlocki2n = 9Pruszkowski took 7 of 9
S5Pruszkowski3Przewlocki1n = 4Pruszkowski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPruszkowskiPrzewlockiPruszkowski − PrzewlockiBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match45.338.7+6.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPruszkowskiPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime1134 / 1798 vs 506 / 106963.1%47.3%1134 / 1798 vs 506 / 1069Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiPruszkowski 1.53/Przewlocki 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski—11817113P. Przewlocki—5111581
LAug 17 · 14:40J. Pruszkowski—89111192P. Przewlocki—111185113
WAug 17 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski—116138113P. Przewlocki—611111162
WJul 21 · 23:20J. Pruszkowski—711114123P. Przewlocki—119911102
WJul 21 · 15:00J. Pruszkowski—811811113P. Przewlocki—11711992
WJun 16 · 03:30J. Pruszkowski—111211123P. Przewlocki—4147101
WJun 15 · 21:30J. Pruszkowski—111215123P. Przewlocki—71017101
WJun 9 · 03:30J. Pruszkowski—1111113P. Przewlocki—3990
WJun 8 · 21:30J. Pruszkowski—11811113P. Przewlocki—511571
WMay 29 · 08:20J. Pruszkowski—111211113P. Przewlocki—414591
J. Pruszkowski10
LSep 7 · 07:45K. Schaniel2.631111113J. Pruszkowski1.449860LSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101WSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113LSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 01:35R. Ogon5.00671171J. Pruszkowski1.1211119113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101LSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153LSep 4 · 14:40Z. Sobkow1.671011711113J. Pruszkowski2.1012711662
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 7 · 09:25W. Urban1.80127148113P. Przewlocki1.911011121182LSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.53811114102J. Kaczmarek2.38119611123LSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:00P. Przewlocki1.674590O. Vincenec2.101111113
Upcoming Matches
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