TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090080
Played Sep 7Finished
Jakub Nowak
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181210117––––
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Pruszkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1181210117––––
H2H Jakub Nowak 37–64 Jakub Pruszkowski Jakub Nowak has won 37 of their 101 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:22What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Pruszkowski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-64 in 101
Pruszkowski
Wrong
gap of 27 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nowak 1326 vs Pruszkowski 1398
Pruszkowski
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nowak 40% vs Pruszkowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nowak 40% vs Pruszkowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nowak +1 · Pruszkowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNowak 2.25 / Pruszkowski 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Pruszkowski)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13090080
Nowak2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 241 of 672
Down 0–1, comes back21% 86 of 407
Down 0–2, comes back9% 21 of 236
Pruszkowski1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 461 of 710
Up 2–0, closes it96% 240 of 251
Up 1–0, closes it83% 357 of 429
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNowak4wins
AwayPruszkowski6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderPruszkowski leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNowak100%3 of 3
AwayPruszkowski85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nowak3Pruszkowski7n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S2Nowak5Pruszkowski5n = 10split evenly
S3Nowak5Pruszkowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Nowak4Pruszkowski5n = 9Pruszkowski took 5 of 9
S5Nowak2Pruszkowski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNowakPruszkowskiN − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.045.1−5.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNowakPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime671 / 1734 vs 1131 / 179238.7%63.1%671 / 1734 vs 1131 / 1792Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiNowak 2.25/Pruszkowski 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 18:20J. Nowak—94110J. Pruszkowski—1111133
LAug 25 · 23:20J. Nowak—6101161J. Pruszkowski—11128113
WAug 5 · 19:10J. Nowak—1111615113J. Pruszkowski—67111792
LJul 24 · 02:20J. Nowak—671761J. Pruszkowski—111115113
WJun 19 · 02:45J. Nowak—31111143J. Pruszkowski—1189121
LJun 15 · 23:30J. Nowak—1081401J. Pruszkowski—121112113
WJun 15 · 19:10J. Nowak—11119133J. Pruszkowski—7911111
LJun 14 · 23:30J. Nowak—51161262J. Pruszkowski—1191110113
LJun 14 · 19:10J. Nowak—61181162J. Pruszkowski—117117113
WJun 2 · 02:20J. Nowak—11121111113J. Pruszkowski—91481392
J. Nowak10
WSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113LSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130LSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113LSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113WSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123LSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971WSep 6 · 23:10J. Nowak1.3413116113R. Ogon2.901181181LSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113LSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571LSep 5 · 13:30J. Nowak2.389111371W. Wojtaszczyk1.5311915113
J. Pruszkowski10
WSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113WSep 7 · 01:35R. Ogon5.00671171J. Pruszkowski1.1211119113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101LSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153LSep 4 · 14:40Z. Sobkow1.671011711113J. Pruszkowski2.1012711662LSep 4 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski1.44591171P. Kurek2.6311118113WSep 4 · 12:15P. Slosarczyk4.004150J. Pruszkowski1.221111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Nowak
Sep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91R. Niemiec1.80—Sep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 7 · 18:45J. Nowak—M. Sikon——Sep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 7 · 21:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——Sep 7 · 22:20J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 8 · 01:30J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 8 · 03:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——
J. Pruszkowski
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