TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082306
Played Sep 6Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11931113151315––
Jakub Pruszkowski
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
11931113151315––
H2H Pawel Adamus 7–13 Jakub Pruszkowski Pawel Adamus has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:28What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Pruszkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-13 in 20
Pruszkowski
Correct
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1476 vs Pruszkowski 1410
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 100% vs Pruszkowski 40%
Adamus
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 80% vs Pruszkowski 50%
Adamus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +5 · Pruszkowski -2
Adamus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pruszkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pruszkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 2.00 / Pruszkowski 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pruszkowski)-0.1pp
TT Elite Series · #13082306
Adamus2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 92 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back27% 28 of 104
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Pruszkowski1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 461 of 710
Up 2–0, closes it96% 240 of 251
Up 1–0, closes it83% 357 of 429
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayPruszkowski5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus57.1%4 of 7
AwayPruszkowski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus7Pruszkowski3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S2Adamus3Pruszkowski7n = 10Pruszkowski took 7 of 10
S3Adamus5Pruszkowski5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamus6Pruszkowski2n = 8Adamus took 6 of 8
S5Adamus2Pruszkowski4n = 6Pruszkowski took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusPruszkowskiA − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.841.9+0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusPruszkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 676 vs 1129 / 178855.3%63.1%374 / 676 vs 1129 / 1788Avg sets wonper match2.22.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PruszkowskiAdamus 2.00/Pruszkowski 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pruszkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pruszkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 17 · 13:05P. Adamus—1412121052J. Pruszkowski—12101412113
LJun 17 · 06:55P. Adamus—111210772J. Pruszkowski—9101211113
WJun 15 · 03:30P. Adamus—121011113J. Pruszkowski—1012541
LJun 14 · 21:30P. Adamus—11761292J. Pruszkowski—9111110113
WMay 14 · 07:10P. Adamus—11811113J. Pruszkowski—511661
WApr 16 · 04:00P. Adamus—1114113J. Pruszkowski—41260
LApr 16 · 24:00P. Adamus—45111192J. Pruszkowski—111157113
WApr 10 · 07:10P. Adamus—1291111113J. Pruszkowski—101113872
LSep 20 · 23:30P. Adamus—9140J. Pruszkowski—1111113
WSep 20 · 19:10P. Adamus—9101113113J. Pruszkowski—111271162
P. Adamus10
WSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971LSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113WSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113WSep 1 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek3.305590P. Adamus1.271111113WSep 1 · 05:35P. Gumulinski1.958101161P. Adamus1.7711128113WSep 1 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.6097100P. Adamus1.421111123WSep 1 · 03:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.7511861272P. Adamus1.378111110113WAug 31 · 04:20S. Szostok1.678680P. Adamus2.091111113
J. Pruszkowski10
LSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101WSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113LSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 01:35R. Ogon5.00671171J. Pruszkowski1.1211119113LSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101LSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980LSep 4 · 14:40Z. Sobkow1.671011711113J. Pruszkowski2.1012711662LSep 4 · 13:30J. Pruszkowski1.44591171P. Kurek2.6311118113
Upcoming Matches
P. Adamus
Nothing scheduled
J. Pruszkowski1 of 1 neutral
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