TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052051
Played Sep 1Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1188116111210711
Pawel Adamus
Away
1.37
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:01 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1188116111210711
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 3–8 Pawel Adamus Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:01What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Adamus
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1271 vs Adamus 1437
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 30% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz +2 · Adamus +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 2.75 / Adamus 1.37
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Adamus)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13052051
Ruszkiewicz2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 134 of 347
Down 0–1, comes back22% 41 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 105
Adamus1.37
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 185 of 297
Up 2–0, closes it98% 84 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it77% 134 of 175
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz3wins
AwayAdamus7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz2Adamus8n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz6Adamus4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz1Adamus9n = 10Adamus took 9 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz5Adamus1n = 6Ruszkiewicz took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczAdamusR − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.937.6−5.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime305 / 861 vs 378 / 68335.4%55.3%305 / 861 vs 378 / 683Avg sets wonper match1.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.440.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusRuszkiewicz 2.75/Adamus 1.37
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 7 · 05:35A. Ruszkiewicz—101191192P. Adamus—128117113
WJul 6 · 12:15A. Ruszkiewicz—81112113P. Adamus—1171081
WJul 6 · 08:35A. Ruszkiewicz—11118123P. Adamus—7811101
LJun 20 · 01:55A. Ruszkiewicz—811851P. Adamus—11811113
LJun 19 · 19:55A. Ruszkiewicz—7580P. Adamus—1111113
WApr 29 · 18:00A. Ruszkiewicz—111110113P. Adamus—671281
LAug 6 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz—8330P. Adamus—1111113
LAug 6 · 02:20A. Ruszkiewicz—7860P. Adamus—1111113
LAug 4 · 24:25A. Ruszkiewicz—54100P. Adamus—1111123
LAug 3 · 20:45A. Ruszkiewicz—81121142P. Adamus—119116113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342LSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111WSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952LSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113WSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151
P. Adamus10
WSep 7 · 02:45P. Adamus1.091111113R. Ogon5.707630LSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971LSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113LSep 6 · 21:10P. Adamus2.0011313131J. Pruszkowski1.7091115153WSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113WSep 1 · 07:35J. Kaczmarek3.305590P. Adamus1.271111113WSep 1 · 05:35P. Gumulinski1.958101161P. Adamus1.7711128113WSep 1 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.6097100P. Adamus1.421111123WAug 31 · 04:20S. Szostok1.678680P. Adamus2.091111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.