TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075726
Played Sep 4Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111189111416––
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:38 and never touched — 65.4% is still 65.4%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
65.4%
65.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
8111189111416––
H2H Patryk Mecik 2–2 Adam Ruszkiewicz Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1260 vs Ruszkiewicz 1354
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 20% vs Ruszkiewicz 80%
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 60% vs Ruszkiewicz 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik +1 · Ruszkiewicz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Ruszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruszkiewicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 1.90 / Ruszkiewicz 1.75
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13075726
Mecik1.90
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 100 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Ruszkiewicz1.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite60% won 53 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 42 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMecik2wins
AwayRuszkiewicz2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik2Ruszkiewicz2n = 4split evenly
S2Mecik2Ruszkiewicz2n = 4split evenly
S3Mecik3Ruszkiewicz1n = 4Mecik took 3 of 4
S4Mecik1Ruszkiewicz2n = 3Ruszkiewicz took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricMecikRuszkiewiczM − RBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match37.237.20.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 809 vs 316 / 88140.2%35.9%325 / 809 vs 316 / 881Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczMecik 1.90/Ruszkiewicz 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik—8119141A. Ruszkiewicz—11811163
LAug 11 · 03:10P. Mecik—381191A. Ruszkiewicz—11119113
WJun 16 · 07:35P. Mecik—11611143A. Ruszkiewicz—8117121
WJun 9 · 06:45P. Mecik—1112113A. Ruszkiewicz—61070
P. Mecik10
LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113WSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113LSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113LAug 31 · 16:40P. Mecik2.159890M. Baron1.601111113LAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850WAug 31 · 14:20O. Jadach1.3541590P. Mecik2.901117113WAug 31 · 13:30P. Mecik1.751111113W. Buczynski1.957760WAug 31 · 12:20P. Mecik4.4541112113G. Wichowski1.161171071
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342LSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111WSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952LSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113WSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151LSep 2 · 20:00W. Jozala2.2081112113A. Ruszkiewicz1.601141051
Upcoming Matches
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