TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13052716
Played Aug 31Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113118115––––
Patryk Mecik
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timePatryk Mecik to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
49 points played in total.
Set by set
113118115––––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 18–22 Patryk Mecik Jerzy Pelka has won 18 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:58What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Mecik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-22 in 40
Mecik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1315 vs Mecik 1290
Pelka
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 20% vs Mecik 80%
Mecik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 40% vs Mecik 60%
Mecik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -2 · Mecik +4
Mecik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pelka) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mecik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 1.85 / Mecik 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pelka)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13052716
Pelka1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Mecik1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka2wins
AwayMecik8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMecik leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelka40%2 of 5
AwayMecik100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka5Mecik5n = 10split evenly
S2Pelka4Mecik6n = 10Mecik took 6 of 10
S3Pelka5Mecik5n = 10split evenly
S4Pelka3Mecik5n = 8Mecik took 5 of 8
S5Pelka0Mecik4n = 4Mecik took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaMecikP − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.143.3−2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaMecikBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 922 vs 326 / 81146.1%40.2%425 / 922 vs 326 / 811Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaPelka 1.85/Mecik 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 09:05J. Pelka—1511812142P. Mecik—1751110163
LAug 10 · 15:05J. Pelka—9950P. Mecik—1111113
WAug 10 · 09:05J. Pelka—11712113P. Mecik—9111061
LAug 4 · 14:45J. Pelka—116114142P. Mecik—611611163
LAug 4 · 11:05J. Pelka—121471172P. Mecik—10121113113
LJul 20 · 11:30J. Pelka—1111491P. Mecik—13811113
WJul 20 · 07:10J. Pelka—1111113P. Mecik—8790
LJun 18 · 11:30J. Pelka—119841P. Mecik—81111113
LJan 9 · 17:20J. Pelka—118111182P. Mecik—131182113
LJan 9 · 07:45J. Pelka—101011101P. Mecik—12129123
J. Pelka10
LAug 31 · 16:20J. Pelka2.755640G. Wichowski1.401111113LAug 31 · 13:55J. Pelka2.001224101M. Baron1.71101111123LAug 31 · 12:45O. Jadach1.46851111113J. Pelka2.5011116692WAug 31 · 11:55J. Pelka1.60911129113W. Buczynski2.15115101152LAug 31 · 10:20J. Pelka2.509850O. Jadach1.441111113LAug 31 · 09:05J. Pelka1.831511812142P. Mecik1.861751110163LAug 31 · 07:55J. Pelka1.95561171M. Baron1.7511119113WAug 31 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.35511781J. Pelka2.9511411113LAug 31 · 05:55J. Pelka1.59791291W. Buczynski2.17111110113WAug 26 · 16:50K. Adamus1.651511111192J. Pelka2.10171398113
P. Mecik10
LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113LSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113LAug 31 · 16:40P. Mecik2.159890M. Baron1.601111113WAug 31 · 14:20O. Jadach1.3541590P. Mecik2.901117113WAug 31 · 09:05J. Pelka1.831511812142P. Mecik1.861751110163
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