TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090404
Played Sep 7Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116811711114311
Wojciech Tobiasz
Away
1.68
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:47 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeWojciech Tobiasz to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
116811711114311
H2H Patryk Mecik 28–51 Wojciech Tobiasz Patryk Mecik has won 28 of their 79 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:47What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Tobiasz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-51 in 79
Tobiasz
Correct
gap of 23 in 79, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1242 vs Tobiasz 1293
Tobiasz
Correct
both rated, 52 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 20% vs Tobiasz 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 30% vs Tobiasz 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -3 · Tobiasz -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Tobiasz) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tobiasz form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 2.05 / Tobiasz 1.68
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Tobiasz)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13090404
Mecik2.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 100 of 268
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Tobiasz1.68
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 53 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 39 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik3wins
AwayTobiasz7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderTobiasz leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik40%2 of 5
AwayTobiasz80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik5Tobiasz5n = 10split evenly
S2Mecik8Tobiasz2n = 10Mecik took 8 of 10
S3Mecik3Tobiasz7n = 10Tobiasz took 7 of 10
S4Mecik4Tobiasz4n = 8split evenly
S5Mecik1Tobiasz6n = 7Tobiasz took 6 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away660%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikTobiaszM − TBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.841.7−0.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikTobiaszBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 811 vs 336 / 73140.1%46%325 / 811 vs 336 / 731Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TobiaszMecik 2.05/Tobiasz 1.68
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Tobiasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tobiasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik—11871132W. Tobiasz—611114113
LAug 17 · 14:45P. Mecik—8970W. Tobiasz—1111113
LAug 17 · 11:05P. Mecik—111191092W. Tobiasz—691112113
LAug 10 · 13:30P. Mecik—91191182W. Tobiasz—117116113
LAug 10 · 07:30P. Mecik—11118552W. Tobiasz—681111113
WJul 27 · 12:45P. Mecik—11115113W. Tobiasz—931191
WJul 27 · 10:20P. Mecik—711511113W. Tobiasz—11811792
WJun 29 · 15:55P. Mecik—1112113W. Tobiasz—81080
LJun 29 · 09:55P. Mecik—41113972W. Tobiasz—1151111113
LJun 22 · 13:55P. Mecik—81111872W. Tobiasz—114911113
P. Mecik10
LSep 7 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.341211113P. Mecik3.0010670LSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113LSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113LSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113LAug 31 · 16:40P. Mecik2.159890M. Baron1.601111113LAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850WAug 31 · 14:20O. Jadach1.3541590P. Mecik2.901117113WAug 31 · 13:30P. Mecik1.751111113W. Buczynski1.957760
W. Tobiasz10
WSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.8561111692W. Tobiasz1.85110711113LSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 16:40W. Tobiasz3.1051111572S. Szostok1.33116711113LSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.3721111113W. Tobiasz2.75113741WSep 4 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.85514123122W. Tobiasz1.8511121011143LSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 12:20W. Tobiasz2.358911121O. Jadach1.5011117143LSep 4 · 10:40W. Tobiasz2.5088100S. Szostok1.461111123LSep 4 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.301111143W. Tobiasz3.1085120WSep 4 · 08:20O. Jadach1.351212971W. Tobiasz2.95141011113
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