TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078118
Played Sep 4Finished
Wojciech Tobiasz
Home
3.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511116117511711
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeSebastian Szostok to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
511116117511711
H2H Wojciech Tobiasz 4–11 Sebastian Szostok Wojciech Tobiasz has won 4 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:48What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (70%)
Szostok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-11 in 15
Szostok
Correct
gap of 7 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tobiasz 1298 vs Szostok 1443
Szostok
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tobiasz 20% vs Szostok 100%
Szostok
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tobiasz 30% vs Szostok 80%
Szostok
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tobiasz -1 · Szostok +5
Szostok
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Szostok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTobiasz 3.10 / Szostok 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Szostok)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13078118
Tobiasz3.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 80 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Szostok1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 329 of 516
Up 2–0, closes it94% 125 of 133
Up 1–0, closes it78% 214 of 275
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTobiasz3wins
AwaySzostok7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTobiasz60%3 of 5
AwaySzostok100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tobiasz5Szostok5n = 10split evenly
S2Tobiasz5Szostok5n = 10split evenly
S3Tobiasz3Szostok7n = 10Szostok took 7 of 10
S4Tobiasz0Szostok6n = 6Szostok took 6 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTobiaszSzostokT − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.136.5−2.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTobiaszSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 731 vs 939 / 158146%59.4%336 / 731 vs 939 / 1581Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.840.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzostokTobiasz 3.10/Szostok 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.4%
Szostok · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 10:40W. Tobiasz—88100S. Szostok—1111123
LMar 16 · 09:45W. Tobiasz—6117101S. Szostok—11911123
WJan 5 · 14:10W. Tobiasz—1111113S. Szostok—4990
LJan 5 · 06:30W. Tobiasz—1167101S. Szostok—91111123
LSep 20 · 12:45W. Tobiasz—1081191S. Szostok—12115113
WSep 20 · 08:45W. Tobiasz—1111143S. Szostok—79120
LAug 16 · 04:00W. Tobiasz—127791S. Szostok—101111113
LJun 27 · 13:30W. Tobiasz—7780S. Szostok—1111113
WJun 27 · 07:30W. Tobiasz—111189113S. Szostok—48111152
LJun 26 · 17:05W. Tobiasz—711691S. Szostok—11811113
W. Tobiasz10
LSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.3721111113W. Tobiasz2.75113741WSep 4 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.85514123122W. Tobiasz1.8511121011143LSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 12:20W. Tobiasz2.358911121O. Jadach1.5011117143LSep 4 · 10:40W. Tobiasz2.5088100S. Szostok1.461111123LSep 4 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.301111143W. Tobiasz3.1085120WSep 4 · 08:20O. Jadach1.351212971W. Tobiasz2.95141011113LSep 4 · 07:30W. Tobiasz1.601281081J. Kaczmarek2.10101112113WSep 4 · 06:20W. Tobiasz1.86111111113R. Niemiec1.80513991
S. Szostok10
LSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571WSep 5 · 13:05S. Szostok2.2011311113P. Jedrzejak1.611111351LSep 5 · 11:50S. Szostok1.837640J. Wieczerzak1.831111113WSep 5 · 10:10S. Szostok1.9111611113Z. Sobkow1.80511631LSep 5 · 09:00S. Szostok2.109911101W. Wojtaszczyk1.6711115123WSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113WSep 4 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.85791121S. Szostok1.8511118113WSep 4 · 13:10O. Jadach2.20881191S. Szostok1.5711115113WSep 4 · 10:40W. Tobiasz2.5088100S. Szostok1.461111123
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