TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076929
Played Sep 4Finished
Wojciech Tobiasz
Home
2.35
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8119111171214––
Oskar Jadach
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Tobiasz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
8119111171214––
H2H Wojciech Tobiasz 14–16 Oskar Jadach Wojciech Tobiasz has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-16 in 30
Jadach
Correct
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tobiasz 1313 vs Jadach 1436
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 123 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tobiasz 40% vs Jadach 20%
Tobiasz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tobiasz 50% vs Jadach 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tobiasz -2 · Jadach +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTobiasz 2.35 / Jadach 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Jadach)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13076929
Tobiasz2.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 80 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back21% 23 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back7% 4 of 62
Jadach1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 303 of 456
Up 2–0, closes it94% 141 of 150
Up 1–0, closes it85% 207 of 244
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTobiasz5wins
AwayJadach5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTobiasz66.7%4 of 6
AwayJadach75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tobiasz6Jadach4n = 10Tobiasz took 6 of 10
S2Tobiasz7Jadach3n = 10Tobiasz took 7 of 10
S3Tobiasz4Jadach6n = 10Jadach took 6 of 10
S4Tobiasz5Jadach3n = 8Tobiasz took 5 of 8
S5Tobiasz1Jadach4n = 5Jadach took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricTobiaszJadachT − JBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.139.8+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTobiaszJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 729 vs 788 / 130446.1%60.4%336 / 729 vs 788 / 1304Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachTobiasz 2.35/Jadach 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.2%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 08:20W. Tobiasz—141011113O. Jadach—1212971
WAug 21 · 14:45W. Tobiasz—411118113O. Jadach—11581152
LAug 21 · 11:05W. Tobiasz—11112942O. Jadach—561111113
WAug 3 · 17:05W. Tobiasz—11119113O. Jadach—941161
LAug 3 · 08:45W. Tobiasz—12871192O. Jadach—1011119113
LJul 31 · 14:20W. Tobiasz—8790O. Jadach—1111113
WJul 31 · 09:05W. Tobiasz—141111113O. Jadach—1251381
WJul 27 · 11:30W. Tobiasz—1111113O. Jadach—9780
LJul 27 · 07:10W. Tobiasz—91111992O. Jadach—112511113
LJul 5 · 11:30W. Tobiasz—711615122O. Jadach—1181113143
W. Tobiasz10
WSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.8561111692W. Tobiasz1.85110711113WSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 16:40W. Tobiasz3.1051111572S. Szostok1.33116711113LSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.3721111113W. Tobiasz2.75113741WSep 4 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.85514123122W. Tobiasz1.8511121011143LSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 10:40W. Tobiasz2.5088100S. Szostok1.461111123LSep 4 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.301111143W. Tobiasz3.1085120WSep 4 · 08:20O. Jadach1.351212971W. Tobiasz2.95141011113
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652LSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782LSep 4 · 08:20O. Jadach1.351212971W. Tobiasz2.95141011113
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