TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090707
Played Sep 7Finished
Yurij Fomin
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611110117611911
Wojciech Tobiasz
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:16 and never touched — 59.6% is still 59.6%
Graded at full timeYurij Fomin to win
59.6%
59.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
611110117611911
H2H Yurij Fomin 31–23 Wojciech Tobiasz Wojciech Tobiasz has won 23 of their 54 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:16What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Tobiasz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-23 in 54
Fomin
Wrong
gap of 8 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1355 vs Tobiasz 1293
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Tobiasz 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 50% vs Tobiasz 30%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -1 · Tobiasz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tobiasz form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.85 / Tobiasz 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fomin)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13090707
Fomin1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Tobiasz1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin5wins
AwayTobiasz5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin50%2 of 4
AwayTobiasz50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin4Tobiasz6n = 10Tobiasz took 6 of 10
S2Fomin8Tobiasz2n = 10Fomin took 8 of 10
S3Fomin6Tobiasz4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S4Fomin2Tobiasz6n = 8Tobiasz took 6 of 8
S5Fomin3Tobiasz3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominTobiaszF − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.841.6+0.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominTobiaszBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 528 vs 336 / 73149.1%46%259 / 528 vs 336 / 731Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.85/Tobiasz 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tobiasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 15:30Y. Fomin—811911113W. Tobiasz—11511982
LAug 17 · 09:30Y. Fomin—87111292W. Tobiasz—1111610113
WJun 29 · 11:55Y. Fomin—712115123W. Tobiasz—1110311102
LJun 29 · 05:55Y. Fomin—111111992W. Tobiasz—713811113
LJun 22 · 15:05Y. Fomin—4111081W. Tobiasz—11812113
LJun 22 · 08:20Y. Fomin—131151262W. Tobiasz—1191114113
WJun 15 · 13:55Y. Fomin—1111113W. Tobiasz—8270
WJun 15 · 07:55Y. Fomin—1112123W. Tobiasz—710100
WJun 8 · 16:40Y. Fomin—611116123W. Tobiasz—119511102
LJun 8 · 10:40Y. Fomin—811191W. Tobiasz—11711113
Y. Fomin10
LSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113LSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180LSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342WSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113WAug 27 · 08:00Y. Fomin1.5121111113W. Jozala2.35119351WAug 27 · 06:45Y. Fomin1.30711511113M. Cesarz3.3011911692LAug 27 · 05:35Y. Fomin2.3857120M. Lebek1.531111143
W. Tobiasz10
WSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 16:40W. Tobiasz3.1051111572S. Szostok1.33116711113LSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.3721111113W. Tobiasz2.75113741WSep 4 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.85514123122W. Tobiasz1.8511121011143LSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 12:20W. Tobiasz2.358911121O. Jadach1.5011117143LSep 4 · 10:40W. Tobiasz2.5088100S. Szostok1.461111123LSep 4 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.301111143W. Tobiasz3.1085120WSep 4 · 08:20O. Jadach1.351212971W. Tobiasz2.95141011113
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