TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075500
Played Sep 4Finished
Michal Paszkiewicz
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101311118––––
Yurij Fomin
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:09 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Paszkiewicz to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
12101311118––––
H2H Michal Paszkiewicz 4–1 Yurij Fomin Yurij Fomin has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:09What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Paszkiewicz
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paszkiewicz 1412 vs Fomin 1349
Paszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paszkiewicz 40% vs Fomin 60%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paszkiewicz 60% vs Fomin 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Paszkiewicz +2 · Fomin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Paszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Paszkiewicz form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPaszkiewicz 1.83 / Fomin 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Paszkiewicz)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13075500
Paszkiewicz1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Fomin1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
22%takes the first set · 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePaszkiewicz4wins
AwayFomin1wins
4 of 5 to a deciderPaszkiewicz leads 4–1, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePaszkiewicz100%3 of 3
AwayFominn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paszkiewicz3Fomin2n = 5Paszkiewicz took 3 of 5
S2Paszkiewicz2Fomin3n = 5Fomin took 3 of 5
S3Paszkiewicz3Fomin2n = 5Paszkiewicz took 3 of 5
S4Paszkiewicz3Fomin2n = 5Paszkiewicz took 3 of 5
S5Paszkiewicz3Fomin1n = 4Paszkiewicz took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricPaszkiewiczFominP − FBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match48.044.8+3.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaszkiewiczFominBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 798 vs 257 / 52353.5%49.1%427 / 798 vs 257 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaszkiewiczPaszkiewicz 1.83/Fomin 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Paszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Paszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJun 5 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz—117811113Y. Fomin—81111692
WMay 8 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz—11121210123Y. Fomin—6141012102
LFeb 13 · 06:35M. Paszkiewicz—91151192Y. Fomin—119114113
WOct 31 · 04:35M. Paszkiewicz—1111118113Y. Fomin—71381182
WOct 10 · 05:10M. Paszkiewicz—51111113Y. Fomin—118871
M. Paszkiewicz10
WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113WSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113LSep 3 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz1.86711391O. Sokolowski1.8311911113LSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.7091111972M. Paszkiewicz1.40114411113LSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:00R. Komandzik—71170M. Paszkiewicz—1113113
Y. Fomin10
LSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.8561111692W. Tobiasz1.85110711113LSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113LSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342WSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113WAug 27 · 08:00Y. Fomin1.5121111113W. Jozala2.35119351WAug 27 · 06:45Y. Fomin1.30711511113M. Cesarz3.3011911692LAug 27 · 05:35Y. Fomin2.3857120M. Lebek1.531111143
Upcoming Matches
M. Paszkiewicz
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Y. Fomin
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