TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13069917
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Paszkiewicz
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411118411611––
Marian Lebek
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Paszkiewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
411118411611––
H2H Michal Paszkiewicz 18–28 Marian Lebek Michal Paszkiewicz has won 18 of their 46 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:28What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-28 in 46
Lebek
Correct
gap of 10 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paszkiewicz 1397 vs Lebek 1474
Lebek
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paszkiewicz 40% vs Lebek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paszkiewicz 60% vs Lebek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Paszkiewicz -2 · Lebek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lebek form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPaszkiewicz 2.60 / Lebek 1.41
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Lebek)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13069917
Paszkiewicz2.60
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 78 of 175
Down 0–1, comes back20% 20 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 67
Lebek1.41
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 245 of 396
Up 2–0, closes it96% 155 of 162
Up 1–0, closes it81% 210 of 258
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePaszkiewicz3wins
AwayLebek7wins
Lebek leads 7–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePaszkiewicz100%3 of 3
AwayLebek100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paszkiewicz3Lebek7n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Paszkiewicz4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S3Paszkiewicz4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S4Paszkiewicz2Lebek4n = 6Lebek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricPaszkiewiczLebekP − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.334.6−6.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaszkiewiczLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime425 / 795 vs 849 / 146553.5%58%425 / 795 vs 849 / 1465Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekPaszkiewicz 2.60/Lebek 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.4%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 01:10M. Paszkiewicz—13117113M. Lebek—1151141
LAug 7 · 06:00M. Paszkiewicz—2680M. Lebek—1111113
LAug 5 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz—711971M. Lebek—11911113
LJul 31 · 04:50M. Paszkiewicz—5340M. Lebek—1111113
LJul 29 · 06:00M. Paszkiewicz—2670M. Lebek—1111113
WJul 24 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz—111012113M. Lebek—5121031
WJul 17 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz—1111113M. Lebek—7870
LJul 15 · 08:45M. Paszkiewicz—391181M. Lebek—11117113
LJul 8 · 07:35M. Paszkiewicz—7911101M. Lebek—11116123
LJul 3 · 04:25M. Paszkiewicz—211421M. Lebek—11911113
M. Paszkiewicz10
WSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180WSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113WSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz1.86711391O. Sokolowski1.8311911113LSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.7091111972M. Paszkiewicz1.40114411113LSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:00R. Komandzik—71170M. Paszkiewicz—1113113
M. Lebek10
LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113LSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113WSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852LSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952WSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181
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