TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075717
Played Sep 4Finished
Michal Paszkiewicz
Home
1.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1176111210911118
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
1176111210911118
H2H Michal Paszkiewicz 14–7 Adam Ruszkiewicz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:38What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Paszkiewicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-7 in 21
Paszkiewicz
Correct
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Paszkiewicz 1411 vs Ruszkiewicz 1364
Paszkiewicz
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Paszkiewicz 60% vs Ruszkiewicz 80%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Paszkiewicz 50% vs Ruszkiewicz 70%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Paszkiewicz -1 · Ruszkiewicz +3
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Paszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruszkiewicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPaszkiewicz 1.55 / Ruszkiewicz 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Paszkiewicz)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13075717
Paszkiewicz1.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 79 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it87% 58 of 67
Ruszkiewicz2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog39% won 134 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePaszkiewicz7wins
AwayRuszkiewicz3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPaszkiewicz leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePaszkiewicz66.7%2 of 3
AwayRuszkiewicz28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Paszkiewicz3Ruszkiewicz7n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 7 of 10
S2Paszkiewicz7Ruszkiewicz3n = 10Paszkiewicz took 7 of 10
S3Paszkiewicz7Ruszkiewicz3n = 10Paszkiewicz took 7 of 10
S4Paszkiewicz5Ruszkiewicz3n = 8Paszkiewicz took 5 of 8
S5Paszkiewicz2Ruszkiewicz1n = 3Paszkiewicz took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPaszkiewiczRuszkiewiczP − RBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.736.3+3.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPaszkiewiczRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime428 / 800 vs 316 / 88053.5%35.9%428 / 800 vs 316 / 880Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.535.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PaszkiewiczPaszkiewicz 1.55/Ruszkiewicz 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.4%
Paszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Paszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 3 · 24:00M. Paszkiewicz—4780A. Ruszkiewicz—1111113
LAug 2 · 16:00M. Paszkiewicz—991191A. Ruszkiewicz—11119113
WJul 28 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz—812117113A. Ruszkiewicz—111091162
LJul 14 · 05:10M. Paszkiewicz—16114982A. Ruszkiewicz—1451111113
WMar 14 · 24:55M. Paszkiewicz—61211113A. Ruszkiewicz—1110621
WMar 13 · 18:55M. Paszkiewicz—671111113A. Ruszkiewicz—11119282
WFeb 6 · 04:35M. Paszkiewicz—1111113A. Ruszkiewicz—9980
WJan 21 · 23:25M. Paszkiewicz—12119113A. Ruszkiewicz—1081161
WDec 23 · 07:00M. Paszkiewicz—51111113A. Ruszkiewicz—115961
WDec 19 · 07:00M. Paszkiewicz—101111113A. Ruszkiewicz—126631
M. Paszkiewicz10
LSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113WSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180WSep 4 · 04:25P. Mecik2.059940M. Paszkiewicz1.661111113WSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113LSep 3 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz1.86711391O. Sokolowski1.8311911113LSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.7091111972M. Paszkiewicz1.40114411113LSep 3 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz1.593260A. Burkacki2.161111113WSep 3 · 02:00R. Komandzik—71170M. Paszkiewicz—1113113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342LSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111WSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952LSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113WSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151LSep 2 · 20:00W. Jozala2.2081112113A. Ruszkiewicz1.601141051
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