TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13074065
Played Sep 3Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
3.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12101012311117811
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.27
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:08 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
12101012311117811
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 2–16 Krzysztof Hetnar Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 2 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (73%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-16 in 18
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 14 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1279 vs Hetnar 1512
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 233 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 60% vs Hetnar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 50% vs Hetnar 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz +1 · Hetnar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 86% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (60%) is below what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 3.35 / Hetnar 1.27
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Hetnar)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13074065
Ruszkiewicz3.35
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 131 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 101
Hetnar1.27
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 256 of 374
Up 2–0, closes it98% 143 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it85% 211 of 248
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz0wins
AwayHetnar10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHetnar leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHetnar100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz2Hetnar8n = 10Hetnar took 8 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz2Hetnar8n = 10Hetnar took 8 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz4Hetnar6n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz0Hetnar6n = 6Hetnar took 6 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczHetnarR − HBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.240.6−12.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime310 / 872 vs 723 / 117135.6%61.7%310 / 872 vs 723 / 1171Avg sets wonper match1.62.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarRuszkiewicz 3.35/Hetnar 1.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.8%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz—711461K. Hetnar—111112113
LAug 4 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz—3970K. Hetnar—1111113
LJun 16 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz—6540K. Hetnar—1111113
LJun 15 · 11:50A. Ruszkiewicz—21211552K. Hetnar—1110811113
LJun 15 · 03:50A. Ruszkiewicz—1110131152K. Hetnar—7121113113
LJun 2 · 03:35A. Ruszkiewicz—911881K. Hetnar—11511113
LApr 28 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz—1161061K. Hetnar—81112113
LFeb 27 · 04:10A. Ruszkiewicz—5530K. Hetnar—1111113
LFeb 18 · 16:10A. Ruszkiewicz—1391131K. Hetnar—15117113
LFeb 3 · 09:45A. Ruszkiewicz—4940K. Hetnar—1111113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342LSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111WSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952WSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151LSep 2 · 20:00W. Jozala2.2081112113A. Ruszkiewicz1.601141051
K. Hetnar10
LSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121LSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861LSep 6 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.951111153K. Hetnar1.3554130WSep 6 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.1668100K. Hetnar1.591111123LSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113WSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852WSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840LSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113WSep 3 · 20:00K. Hetnar1.83411911113S. Szostok1.8611511872
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