TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085962
Played Sep 6Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
2.95
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151141513––––
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.35
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:49 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1151141513––––
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 7–19 Krzysztof Hetnar Rafal Idaczyk has won 7 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (69%)
Hetnar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-19 in 26
Hetnar
Wrong
gap of 12 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1314 vs Hetnar 1522
Hetnar
Wrong
both rated, 208 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 40% vs Hetnar 60%
Hetnar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 40% vs Hetnar 70%
Hetnar
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk +2 · Hetnar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 2.95 / Hetnar 1.35
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Hetnar)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13085962
Idaczyk2.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 102 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back14% 23 of 162
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 110
Hetnar1.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 261 of 382
Up 2–0, closes it98% 145 of 148
Up 1–0, closes it85% 213 of 250
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIdaczyk4wins
AwayHetnar6wins
Hetnar leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczyk80%4 of 5
AwayHetnar100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk5Hetnar5n = 10split evenly
S2Idaczyk3Hetnar7n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S3Idaczyk3Hetnar7n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S4Idaczyk2Hetnar1n = 3Idaczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricIdaczykHetnarI − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match26.731.3−4.6per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime470 / 958 vs 726 / 117549.1%61.8%470 / 958 vs 726 / 1175Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarIdaczyk 2.95/Hetnar 1.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Idaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 12:40R. Idaczyk—7880K. Hetnar—1111113
LAug 28 · 06:30R. Idaczyk—5950K. Hetnar—1111113
LAug 11 · 04:00R. Idaczyk—116941K. Hetnar—91111113
WJul 20 · 04:10R. Idaczyk—12116113K. Hetnar—1031171
WJun 16 · 08:00R. Idaczyk—13811123K. Hetnar—11118101
LMay 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk—5150K. Hetnar—1111113
LMay 5 · 07:55R. Idaczyk—7240K. Hetnar—1111113
LApr 24 · 04:50R. Idaczyk—8940K. Hetnar—1111113
WMar 25 · 06:35R. Idaczyk—1111113K. Hetnar—3760
WMar 3 · 04:35R. Idaczyk—1111113K. Hetnar—5680
R. Idaczyk10
WSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113WSep 6 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.494570R. Idaczyk2.451111113WSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101LSep 6 · 04:00K. Juszczyk1.4011813133R. Idaczyk2.7561111111WSep 5 · 16:20R. Idaczyk2.01121111113R. Piechnik1.69147981WSep 5 · 15:05R. Idaczyk2.37881111113J. Jesiek1.5211117752LSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123LSep 5 · 12:45M. Lach1.301111113R. Idaczyk3.103720LSep 5 · 11:55R. Idaczyk1.85491181P. Slosarczyk1.8211118113LSep 5 · 10:20R. Idaczyk2.80123531M. Lach1.37101111113
K. Hetnar10
LSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121LSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861WSep 6 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.1668100K. Hetnar1.591111123LSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113WSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852WSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113LSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113WSep 3 · 20:00K. Hetnar1.83411911113S. Szostok1.8611511872
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