TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13081538
Played Sep 5Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
2.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210311511311––
Marcin Lach
Away
1.37
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:58 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeMarcin Lach to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
1210311511311––
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 1–5 Marcin Lach Rafal Idaczyk has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (67%)
Lach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Lach
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1338 vs Lach 1421
Lach
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 40% vs Lach 60%
Lach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 50% vs Lach 70%
Lach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk +1 · Lach -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Lach) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lach form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 2.80 / Lach 1.37
Signal prob.29% / 72%
Edge (Lach)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13081538
Idaczyk2.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 98 of 267
Down 0–1, comes back13% 21 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 106
Lach1.37
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite65% won 104 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it98% 61 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it80% 75 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeIdaczyk1wins
AwayLach5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLach leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLach100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk2Lach4n = 6Lach took 4 of 6
S2Idaczyk2Lach4n = 6Lach took 4 of 6
S3Idaczyk0Lach6n = 6Lach took 6 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away467%
These 6 meetings
MetricIdaczykLachI − LBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match29.335.7−6.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykLachBasisWin rate · lifetime468 / 952 vs 127 / 20049.2%63.5%468 / 952 vs 127 / 200Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LachIdaczyk 2.80/Lach 1.37
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.5%
Lach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 30 · 11:00R. Idaczyk—5780M. Lach—1111113
WAug 30 · 04:55R. Idaczyk—11117113M. Lach—551171
LAug 29 · 09:50R. Idaczyk—8750M. Lach—1111113
LAug 29 · 05:40R. Idaczyk—111310692M. Lach—8111211113
LJul 18 · 09:25R. Idaczyk—9490M. Lach—1111113
LJun 24 · 12:40R. Idaczyk—10780M. Lach—1211113
R. Idaczyk10
WSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113WSep 6 · 07:10W. Pytlas1.494570R. Idaczyk2.451111113WSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.951111153K. Hetnar1.3554130LSep 6 · 04:00K. Juszczyk1.4011813133R. Idaczyk2.7561111111WSep 5 · 16:20R. Idaczyk2.01121111113R. Piechnik1.69147981WSep 5 · 15:05R. Idaczyk2.37881111113J. Jesiek1.5211117752LSep 5 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.607114101W. Buczynski2.1011911123LSep 5 · 12:45M. Lach1.301111113R. Idaczyk3.103720LSep 5 · 11:55R. Idaczyk1.85491181P. Slosarczyk1.8211118113
M. Lach10
LSep 6 · 16:20M. Lach1.6071040R. Piechnik2.151112113WSep 6 · 15:05M. Lach1.65131112113R. Wojcik2.101161471WSep 6 · 13:55M. Lach1.6911511113W. Wojtaszczyk2.01411491WSep 6 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.75781181M. Lach1.9511118113LSep 6 · 11:55M. Lach1.86911991M. Oracz1.8011711113LSep 6 · 10:20M. Lach1.95811971K. Slawinski1.7011811113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Lach1.6311139113R. Wojcik2.108111111WSep 6 · 07:55M. Lach1.7111712123W. Wojtaszczyk2.0061110101WSep 6 · 06:45R. Piechnik2.5510111161M. Lach1.4612913113WSep 5 · 12:45M. Lach1.301111113R. Idaczyk3.103720
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